Toulouse
Coupe de France | Round of 16
Feb 5, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
Guingamp

Toulouse
0 - 2
Guingamp


(39'), Babicka (39'), Messali (48')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sidibe (52'), Ahile (89')
Gnatoa Dylan Ourega (45+1'), Sidibe (63'), Le Bris (72'), Gomis (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Coupe de France clash between Toulouse and Guingamp, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

All competitions
Coupe de France
Last Game: Toulouse 1-1 Nice
Sunday, February 2 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Guingamp

All competitions
Coupe de France
Last Game: Guingamp 0-1 Paris FC
Saturday, February 1 at 7pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 47.19%. A win for Guingamp had a probability of 27.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Guingamp win was 0-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Guingamp would win this match.

Result
ToulouseDrawGuingamp
47.19% (1.366 1.37)25.53% (-0.694 -0.69)27.28% (-0.674 -0.67)
Both teams to score 52.15% (1.624 1.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.77% (2.348 2.35)51.23% (-2.351 -2.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.93% (2.018 2.02)73.06% (-2.019 -2.02)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.28% (1.618 1.62)21.71% (-1.62 -1.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.12% (2.413 2.41)54.87% (-2.416 -2.42)
Guingamp Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.62% (0.71300000000001 0.71)33.38% (-0.715 -0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30% (0.776 0.78)70% (-0.77799999999999 -0.78)
Score Analysis
    Toulouse 47.18%
    Guingamp 27.28%
    Draw 25.53%
ToulouseDrawGuingamp
1-0 @ 11.06% (-0.51 -0.51)
2-1 @ 9.27% (0.209 0.21)
2-0 @ 8.45% (0.029 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.72% (0.324 0.32)
3-0 @ 4.3% (0.217 0.22)
3-2 @ 2.59% (0.224 0.22)
4-1 @ 1.8% (0.203 0.2)
4-0 @ 1.64% (0.156 0.16)
4-2 @ 0.99% (0.128 0.13)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 47.18%
1-1 @ 12.14% (-0.31 -0.31)
0-0 @ 7.25% (-0.708 -0.71)
2-2 @ 5.09% (0.211 0.21)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.098 0.1)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.53%
0-1 @ 7.95% (-0.608 -0.61)
1-2 @ 6.66% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.36% (-0.243 -0.24)
1-3 @ 2.44% (0.033 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.86% (0.111 0.11)
0-3 @ 1.6% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 27.28%

How you voted: Toulouse vs Guingamp

Toulouse
71.4%
Draw
3.6%
Guingamp
25.0%
28
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 32
Guingamp
2-4
Toulouse
Ba (31'), Merghem (34')
Merghem (72'), Quemper (74'), Diarra (81')
Ratao (15'), Healey (38', 48', 75')
Desler (40'), Ratao (59'), Spierings (68')
Oct 30, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 14
Toulouse
2-2
Guingamp
Spierings (58'), N'Goumou (62')
van den Boomen (85'), Desler (90+2')
Pierrot (25'), M'Changama (89')
Diarra (2'), Livolant (90+3')
Apr 12, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Guingamp
1-1
Toulouse
Livolant (27')
Mellot (55'), Sampaio (71'), Niakate (90+2')
Healey (37')
Kone (40'), Sanna (50')
Dec 5, 2020 6pm
Gameweek 14
Toulouse
2-2
Guingamp
Healey (51'), Antiste (73')
Moreira (55'), Amian (63')
Gomis (56' pen.), Ngbakoto (81')
Valdivia (50'), Livolant (65'), Niakate (88'), Fofana (90+4')
Mar 10, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 28
Toulouse
1-0
Guingamp
Sanogo (20')
Sanogo (58')

Thuram (27'), Phiri (52')
Coco (44')