Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guingamp win with a probability of 44.12%. A win for Annecy had a probability of 28.2% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guingamp win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (8.58%). The likeliest Annecy win was 1-0 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guingamp would win this match.