Guingamp
Coupe de France | Round of 64
Dec 22, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Stade du Roudourou
Caen

Guingamp
2 - 1
Caen

Luvambo (80'), Picard (90+2')
Hemia (61'), Demouchy (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mendy (86')
Autret (23'), Ntim (28')
Coverage of the Coupe de France Round of 64 clash between Guingamp and Caen.

Form, Standings, Stats

Guingamp

All competitions
Coupe de France
Last Game: Bastia 3-1 Guingamp
Friday, December 13 at 7pm in Ligue 2

Caen

All competitions
Coupe de France
Last Game: Dunkerque 3-1 Caen
Monday, December 16 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guingamp win with a probability of 46.42%. A win for Caen had a probability of 27.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guingamp win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest Caen win was 0-1 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guingamp would win this match.

Result
GuingampDrawCaen
46.42% (-0.453 -0.45)26.06% (-0.162 -0.16)27.52% (0.613 0.61)
Both teams to score 50.72% (0.92599999999999 0.93)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.82% (0.987 0.99)53.18% (-0.989 -0.99)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.25% (0.831 0.83)74.75% (-0.833 -0.83)
Guingamp Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.12% (0.211 0.21)22.88% (-0.214 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.37% (0.313 0.31)56.63% (-0.314 -0.31)
Caen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.77% (1.022 1.02)34.23% (-1.024 -1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.07% (1.08 1.08)70.92% (-1.083 -1.08)
Score Analysis
    Guingamp 46.42%
    Caen 27.52%
    Draw 26.06%
GuingampDrawCaen
1-0 @ 11.55% (-0.38 -0.38)
2-1 @ 9.13% (0.016 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.52% (-0.225 -0.23)
3-1 @ 4.49% (0.037 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.19% (-0.084 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.41% (0.085 0.09)
4-1 @ 1.66% (0.023 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.54% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 46.42%
1-1 @ 12.38% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 7.83% (-0.309 -0.31)
2-2 @ 4.9% (0.143 0.14)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.06%
0-1 @ 8.4% (-0.092000000000001 -0.09)
1-2 @ 6.64% (0.153 0.15)
0-2 @ 4.5% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
1-3 @ 2.37% (0.119 0.12)
2-3 @ 1.75% (0.098 0.1)
0-3 @ 1.61% (0.071 0.07)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 27.52%

Head to Head
Sep 30, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Guingamp
3-1
Caen
Siwe (6'), Picard (67'), Luvambo (78')
Hemia (29'), Siwe (45+4')
Mendy (51')
Henry (33'), M'Vila (47'), Gaucho Debohi (54')
Aug 3, 2024 5pm
Club Friendlies 3
Caen
1-6
Guingamp
Abdi (82')
A. Mendes (27'), Picard (30'), Sabri Guendouz (38'), Louiserre (45+1' pen.), Labeau (61'), Sissoko (90')
Feb 17, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 25
Guingamp
1-0
Caen
Gomis (4')
Sivis (63'), Lobry (89')

Abdi (48'), Daubin (68'), Lebreton (89')
Sep 30, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 9
Caen
0-1
Guingamp

Thomas (90+4')
Sagna (77')
Gomis (79'), Sidibe (89')
Feb 25, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 25
Guingamp
1-2
Caen
El Ouazzani (54')
Court (19'), Kyeremeh (42')
rhs 2.0


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