Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guingamp win with a probability of 40.8%. A win for Caen had a probability of 32.38% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guingamp win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Caen win was 1-0 (9.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Guingamp in this match.