Caen
Ligue 2 | Gameweek 20
Jan 24, 2025 at 7pm UK
Stade Michel d'Ornano
Guingamp

Caen
0 - 1
Guingamp


Lecoeuche (75')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Labeau (44')
Sabri Guendouz (45+4'), Touzghar (83')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Caen and Guingamp.

Form, Standings, Stats

Caen

All competitions
Ligue 2
Last Game: Ajaccio 2-1 Caen
Friday, January 17 at 7pm in Ligue 2

Guingamp

All competitions
Ligue 2
Last Game: Guingamp 3-0 Rodez AF
Friday, January 17 at 7pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guingamp win with a probability of 40.8%. A win for Caen had a probability of 32.38% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guingamp win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Caen win was 1-0 (9.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Guingamp in this match.

Result
CaenDrawGuingamp
32.38% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)26.83% (0.013999999999999 0.01)40.8% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Both teams to score 50.83% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.81% (-0.065999999999995 -0.07)54.19% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.4% (-0.052 -0.05)75.6% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Caen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.81% (-0.057999999999993 -0.06)31.19% (0.058 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.47% (-0.067 -0.07)67.53% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Guingamp Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.87% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)26.13% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.81% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)61.19% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Caen 32.38%
    Guingamp 40.79%
    Draw 26.83%
CaenDrawGuingamp
1-0 @ 9.49% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.42% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.53% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 2.88% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.15% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 1.94% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 32.38%
1-1 @ 12.74% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.15% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.98% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.83%
0-1 @ 10.93% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.55% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-2 @ 7.34% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.83% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 3.28% (0.0029999999999997 0)
2-3 @ 2.23% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.28% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 40.79%

Head to Head
Dec 22, 2024 4.30pm
Round of 64
Guingamp
2-1
Caen
Luvambo (80'), Picard (90+2')
Hemia (61'), Demouchy (90+6')
Mendy (86')
Autret (23'), Ntim (28')
Sep 30, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Guingamp
3-1
Caen
Siwe (6'), Picard (67'), Luvambo (78')
Hemia (29'), Siwe (45+4')
Mendy (51')
Henry (33'), M'Vila (47'), Gaucho Debohi (54')
Aug 3, 2024 5pm
Club Friendlies 3
Caen
1-6
Guingamp
Abdi (82')
A. Mendes (27'), Picard (30'), Sabri Guendouz (38'), Louiserre (45+1' pen.), Labeau (61'), Sissoko (90')
Feb 17, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 25
Guingamp
1-0
Caen
Gomis (4')
Sivis (63'), Lobry (89')

Abdi (48'), Daubin (68'), Lebreton (89')
Sep 30, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 9
Caen
0-1
Guingamp

Thomas (90+4')
Sagna (77')
Gomis (79'), Sidibe (89')
rhs 2.0


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