AC Ajaccio
Ligue 2 | Gameweek 19
Jan 17, 2025 at 7pm UK
Stade Francois Coty
Caen

Ajaccio
2 - 1
Caen

Bamba (70'), Kante (84')
Anziani (41'), Bamba (42'), Santelli (90+3'), Santelli (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mendy (62')
Rajot (16'), Traore (43')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Ajaccio and Caen.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajaccio

All competitions
Last Game: Bastia 4-0 Ajaccio
Saturday, January 11 at 1pm in Ligue 2

Caen

All competitions
Ligue 2
Last Game: Caen 0-1 Grenoble
Saturday, January 11 at 1pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 37.67%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.04%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 1-0 (10.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
AjaccioDrawCaen
34.72% (0.93 0.93)27.61% (-0.199 -0.2)37.67% (-0.728 -0.73)
Both teams to score 48.93% (0.723 0.72)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.18% (0.848 0.85)56.82% (-0.845 -0.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.25% (0.675 0.67)77.75% (-0.67100000000001 -0.67)
Ajaccio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.04% (1.04 1.04)30.96% (-1.037 -1.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.74% (1.201 1.2)67.26% (-1.198 -1.2)
Caen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.87% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)29.13% (0.022000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.94% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)65.06% (0.02600000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Ajaccio 34.72%
    Caen 37.67%
    Draw 27.61%
AjaccioDrawCaen
1-0 @ 10.57% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 7.65% (0.183 0.18)
2-0 @ 6.2% (0.152 0.15)
3-1 @ 2.99% (0.154 0.15)
3-0 @ 2.42% (0.126 0.13)
3-2 @ 1.84% (0.094 0.09)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 34.72%
1-1 @ 13.04% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 9.02% (-0.295 -0.3)
2-2 @ 4.72% (0.11 0.11)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.61%
0-1 @ 11.12% (-0.37 -0.37)
1-2 @ 8.04% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
0-2 @ 6.86% (-0.233 -0.23)
1-3 @ 3.31% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.82% (-0.098 -0.1)
2-3 @ 1.94% (0.044 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.02% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 37.67%

How you voted: Ajaccio vs Caen

Ajaccio
37.5%
Draw
50.0%
Caen
12.5%
8
Head to Head
Sep 20, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 5
Caen
1-0
Ajaccio
Brahimi (80')
Henry (77')

Mabepa Ayessa Ondze (42'), Soumano (85'), Strata (90+6')
Apr 20, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 33
Ajaccio
2-1
Caen
Barreto (20'), Ibayi (45')
Barreto (21'), Sollacaro (90+4')
Mendy (90+5' pen.)
Aug 26, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 4
Caen
3-0
Ajaccio
Avinel (36' og.), Mendy (45', 63')
Kyeremeh (87')

Bayala (53'), Bammou (66')
Jan 24, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Caen
2-0
Ajaccio
Mendy (65' pen.), Deminguet (90')
Vandermersch (80'), Lepenant (86')
Aug 25, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 4
Ajaccio
2-0
Caen
Botue (1'), Gonzalez (75')
Courtet (53'), Kalulu (85')

Deminguet (53'), Lepenant (70')
Mendy (80')