Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 38.27%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 32.96% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.82%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 0-1 (11.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.