Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 21

Feb 9, 2025 at 4.15pm UK

Stade de l'Abbe Deschamps

Auxerre
2 - 2
Toulouse

Jubal (62'), Traore (73')
Traore (74')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Cresswell (68'), Edjouma (89')
Magri (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Auxerre and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Auxerre

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Monaco 4-2 Auxerre
Saturday, February 1 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Toulouse

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Toulouse 0-2 Guingamp
Wednesday, February 5 at 7.45pm in Coupe de France

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 38.27%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 32.96% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.82%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 0-1 (11.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Auxerre	Draw	Toulouse
38.27% ( 0.05)	28.76% ( 0.03)	32.96% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 45.32% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.82% (

-0.1)

61.18% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.87% (

-0.07)

81.13% (

0.08)

Auxerre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.07% (

-0.02)

30.92% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.78% (

-0.02)

67.22% (

0.02)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.6% (

-0.11)

34.39% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.9% (

-0.11)

71.1% (

0.12)

Score Analysis

Auxerre 38.27%

Toulouse 32.96%

Draw 28.75%

Auxerre	Draw	Toulouse
1-0 @ 12.48% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.82% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.06% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.87% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.09% Total : 38.27%	1-1 @ 13.32% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.63% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.75%	0-1 @ 11.35% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.11% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.06% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.28% Total : 32.96%