Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 64.97%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Toulouse had a probability of 14.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.06%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a Toulouse win it was 1-0 (4.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.