Ligue 1 Gameweek 22
Feb 15, 2025 8.05pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
  • Vincent Sierro 39' yellowcard
  • Umit Akdag 56' yellowcard
  • goal Fabian Ruiz 52'

Toulouse vs Paris Saint-Germain - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

All competitions
Last game
Feb 9, 2025 4.15pm
Auxerre 2 - 2 Toulouse
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Zakaria Aboukhlal

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Last game
Feb 7, 2025 8.05pm
PSG 4 - 1 Monaco
Goals scored
92
Top scorer
Ousmane Dembele

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 64.97%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Toulouse had a probability of 14.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.06%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a Toulouse win it was 1-0 (4.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result

Toulouse 14.86% (-0.02)
Draw 20.18% (-0.01)
Paris Saint-Germain 64.97% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.52% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.91% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 44.09%
Over 3.5 33.53% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 66.47%
Over 4.5 17.18% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 82.82%

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5 57.93% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 42.07% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 21.5% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 78.5% (+0.02)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5 87.21% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 12.8% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 60.9% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 39.1% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Toulouse 14.86%
Draw 20.18%
Paris Saint-Germain 64.95%
Toulouse
1-0 @ 4.66% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 4.15% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 2.02% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.23% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 1.2% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 14.86%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.58% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.38%
2-2 @ 4.27% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 20.18%
Paris Saint-Germain
0-2 @ 11.37%
0-1 @ 11.06%
1-2 @ 9.85% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 7.8% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 6.75% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 4.01% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 3.47% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.92% (-0.01)
0-5 @ 1.65% (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.5% (-0.01)
1-5 @ 1.43% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 64.95%

Head to Head

Ligue 1 Gameweek 12
Nov 22, 2024 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Parc des Princes
  • Joao Neves 35' goal
  • Achraf Hakimi 44' yellowcard
  • Lucas Beraldo 84' goal
  • Vitinha 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Zakaria Aboukhlal 43'
  • yellowcard Aron Donnum 75'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 33
May 12, 2024 8.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT Parc des Princes
  • Kylian Mbappe 8' goal
  • goal Thijs Dallinga 13'
  • goal Yann Gboho 68'
  • goal Frank Magri 90'+5'
Trophee des Champions
Jan 3, 2024 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Parc des Princes
  • Lee Kang-in 3' goal
  • Kylian Mbappe 44' goal
  • Vitinha 46' yellowcard
  • Lucas Hernandez 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gabriel Suazo 45'+1'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 2
Aug 19, 2023 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
  • Zakaria Aboukhlal 87' goal
  • yellowcard Lee Kang-in 45'+1'
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 62'
  • yellowcard Manuel Ugarte 81'
  • yellowcard Gianluigi Donnarumma 85'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 22
Feb 4, 2023 4.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Achraf Hakimi 38' goal
  • Lionel Messi 58' goal
  • goal Branco van den Boomen 20'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 5
Aug 31, 2022 8.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Rafael Ratao 64' yellowcard
  • goal Neymar 37'
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 50'
  • goal Juan Bernat 90'