Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 22

Feb 15, 2025 at 8.05pm UK

Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)

Toulouse
0 - 1
PSG

Sierro (39'), Akdag (56')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ruiz (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Paris Saint-Germain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Auxerre 2-2 Toulouse
Sunday, February 9 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Brest 0-3 PSG
Tuesday, February 11 at 5.45pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 64.97%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Toulouse had a probability of 14.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.06%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a Toulouse win it was 1-0 (4.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Toulouse	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
14.86% ( -0.02)	20.18% ( -0.01)	64.97% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 50.52% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.91% (

44.09%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.53% (

66.47%

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.93% (

-0.02)

42.07% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.5% (

-0.02)

78.5% (

0.02)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.21% (

0.01)

12.8% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.9% (

0.02)

39.1% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Toulouse 14.86%

Paris Saint-Germain 64.95%

Draw 20.18%

Toulouse	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
1-0 @ 4.66% ( -0) 2-1 @ 4.15% ( -0) 2-0 @ 2.02% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.23% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.2% ( -0) Other @ 1.6% Total : 14.86%	1-1 @ 9.58% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.38% 2-2 @ 4.27% ( -0) Other @ 0.95% Total : 20.18%	0-2 @ 11.37% 0-1 @ 11.06% 1-2 @ 9.85% ( -0) 0-3 @ 7.8% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 6.75% ( 0) 0-4 @ 4.01% ( 0) 1-4 @ 3.47% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.92% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.65% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.5% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.43% ( 0) Other @ 3.14% Total : 64.95%