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Ligue 1

Lens logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 24
Mar 1, 2025 at 6pm UK
Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Le Havre

Lens
3 - 4
Le Havre

El Aynaoui (3' pen.), Aguilar (19'), Sotoca (48')
Aguilar (34'), Said (65')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Soumare (28'), Ayew (33'), Casimir (62'), Mahgoub (90+1' pen.)
Toure (22'), Mahgoub (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Le Havre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lens

All competitions
Last Game: Nantes 3-1 Lens
Sunday, February 23 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Le Havre

All competitions
Last Game: Le Havre 1-4 Toulouse
Sunday, February 23 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lens win with a probability of 58.96%. A draw has a probability of 23% and a win for Le Havre has a probability of 18.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.19%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Le Havre win it is 0-1 (6.13%).

Result
LensDrawLe Havre
58.96% (0.028999999999996 0.03)23.02% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)18.03% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)
Both teams to score 48.33% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.47% (0.021999999999998 0.02)50.53% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.55% (0.021000000000001 0.02)72.45% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.18% (0.018000000000001 0.02)16.82% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.2% (0.033000000000001 0.03)46.8% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
Le Havre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.11% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)41.89% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.66% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)78.34% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Lens 58.95%
    Le Havre 18.03%
    Draw 23.01%
LensDrawLe Havre
1-0 @ 12.56%
2-0 @ 11.19%
2-1 @ 9.74% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 6.65% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.79% (0.0040000000000004 0)
4-0 @ 2.97% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 2.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.52% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.12% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.06% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 0.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 58.95%
1-1 @ 10.92% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.05% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.24%
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 23.01%
0-1 @ 6.13% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.75% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 2.67% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 1.38% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 18.03%

How you voted: Lens vs Le Havre

Lens
56.3%
Draw
25.0%
Le Havre
18.8%
16
Head to Head
Jan 12, 2025 2pm
Gameweek 17
Le Havre
1-2
Lens
Ayew (8')
Ayew (34'), Youte Kinkoue (62')
Koyalipou (28'), Machado (77')
Thomasson (13'), Koffi (90+3')
> Preview
Apr 6, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 28
Lens
1-1
Le Havre
Frankowski (58')
Gradit (62'), Aguilar (72')
Sabbi (78' pen.)
Ayew (51'), Operi (63'), Kechta (69'), Bayo (90+5'), Toure (90+2'), Bayo (90+6')
> Preview
Oct 20, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 9
Le Havre
0-0
Lens
Sabbi (29'), Sangante (65')
Diouf (12'), Danso (20'), Frankowski (34')
> Preview
Jan 31, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 22
Le Havre
0-0
Lens
Fortes (29')
Aug 17, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 4
Lens
1-3
Le Havre
Gillet (46')
Teka (24'), Gillet (43'), Fortes (45'), Perez (75')
Kadewere (67', 79'), Bese (84')
Dina (30'), Fontaine (60')