Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 49.92%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 25.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 0-1 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lens | Draw | Strasbourg |
| 49.92% ( | 24.61% ( | 25.46% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.49% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.26% ( | 48.73% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.16% ( | 70.84% ( |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.45% ( | 19.54% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.55% ( | 51.45% ( |
| Strasbourg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.48% ( | 33.52% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.84% ( | 70.15% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Lens | Draw | Strasbourg |
| 1-0 @ 10.69% ( 2-1 @ 9.54% ( 2-0 @ 8.73% ( 3-1 @ 5.19% ( 3-0 @ 4.75% ( 3-2 @ 2.84% ( 4-1 @ 2.12% ( 4-0 @ 1.94% ( 4-2 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 2.96% Total : 49.92% | 1-1 @ 11.68% ( 0-0 @ 6.55% ( 2-2 @ 5.22% ( 3-3 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.6% | 0-1 @ 7.16% ( 1-2 @ 6.39% ( 0-2 @ 3.91% ( 1-3 @ 2.33% ( 2-3 @ 1.9% ( 0-3 @ 1.43% ( Other @ 2.35% Total : 25.46% |