Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 23

Feb 23, 2025 at 2pm UK

Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau

Nantes
3 - 1
Lens

Leroux (36'), Simon (60' pen.), Elia (90+5')
Amian (58'), Lopes (82')

FT(HT: 1-0)

El Aynaoui (65' pen.)
Gradit (28'), Medina (45+1'), Thomasson (66'), Fulgini (90+8')
N'Zola (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Nantes and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nantes

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Monaco 7-1 Nantes
Saturday, February 15 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Lens

All competitions

Last Game: Lens 0-2 Strasbourg
Sunday, February 16 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 54.11%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 20.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.61%) and 1-2 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Nantes win it was 1-0 (7.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
Nantes	Draw	Lens
20.88% ( 0.14)	25.01% ( 0.03)	54.11% ( -0.18)

Both teams to score 47.06% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.41% (

0.02)

54.59% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.07% (

0.02)

75.93% (

-0.02)

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.93% (

0.17)

41.06% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.39% (

0.15)

77.61% (

-0.15)

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.85% (

-0.06)

20.15% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.57% (

-0.1)

52.43% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Nantes 20.88%

Lens 54.1%

Draw 25%

Nantes	Draw	Lens
1-0 @ 7.37% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 5.25% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 3.28% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.21% Total : 20.88%	1-1 @ 11.79% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.28% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.21% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.73% Total : 25%	0-1 @ 13.25% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 10.61% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 9.45% ( -0) 0-3 @ 5.67% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 5.05% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.27% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.54% Total : 54.1%