Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 21

Feb 7, 2025 at 6pm UK

Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau

Nantes
0 - 2
Brest

Douglas (66'), Chirivella (86'), Amian (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Ajorque (9'), Lees-Melou (90+6')
Magnetti (36'), Bizot (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Nantes and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nantes

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Reims 1-2 Nantes
Sunday, February 2 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Brest

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Troyes 1-2 Brest
Tuesday, February 4 at 6pm in Coupe de France

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 41.61%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 30.97% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (7.77%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brest would win this match.

Result
Nantes	Draw	Brest
30.97% ( -1.27)	27.41% ( 0.12)	41.61% ( 1.14)

Both teams to score 48.59% (

-0.79)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.18% (

-0.8)

56.81% (

0.79)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.25% (

-0.65)

77.75% (

0.64)

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.47% (

-1.31)

33.52% (

1.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.84% (

-1.46)

70.15% (

1.45)

Brest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.09% (

0.25)

26.9% (

-0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.77% (

0.32)

62.22% (

-0.33)

Score Analysis

Nantes 30.97%

Brest 41.6%

Draw 27.41%

Nantes	Draw	Brest
1-0 @ 9.86% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 7.07% ( -0.24) 2-0 @ 5.39% ( -0.23) 3-1 @ 2.58% ( -0.19) 3-0 @ 1.96% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.43% Total : 30.97%	1-1 @ 12.94% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.02% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 4.64% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.41%	0-1 @ 11.83% ( 0.43) 1-2 @ 8.5% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 7.77% ( 0.34) 1-3 @ 3.72% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 3.4% ( 0.17) 2-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.01% Total : 41.6%