Brest beat Nantes in the last 32 of the Coupe recently, but with much focus now set to be on the upcoming Champions League playoff against PSG, manager Roy could be tempted to rotate, to the detriment of their chances here.
Nantes have become draw specialists of late, and even though they earned a win against Reims last weekend, Brest should provide a sterner challenge in a rare draw for them - no club in Europe's top-10 leagues have drawn as few this season (one).
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 41.61%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 30.97% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (7.77%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brest would win this match.
-1.27) 
0.12) 
