Coupe de France
Feb 4, 2025 6.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stade de l'Aube
  • Hugo Magnetti 55' goal
  • yellowcard Justin Bourgault 47'
  • goal Ibrahim Salah 49'
  • yellowcard Soumaula Coulibaly 90'
  • goal Abdallah Sima 90'+2'

Troyes vs Brest - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Troyes

All competitions

Brest

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 38.67%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 34.04% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Troyes win was 1-0 (10.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brest would win this match.

Result

Troyes 34.04% (-0.18)
Draw 27.29% (-0.06)
Brest 38.67% (+0.24)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.8% (+0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5 44.32% (+0.20)
Under 2.5 55.68% (-0.21)
Over 3.5 23.17% (+0.17)
Under 3.5 76.83% (-0.17)
Over 4.5 10.22% (+0.10)
Under 4.5 89.78% (-0.11)

Troyes Goals

Over 0.5 69.17% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 30.83% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 32.89% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 67.11% (+0.02)

Brest Goals

Over 0.5 72% (+0.23)
Under 0.5 28% (-0.24)
Over 1.5 36.36% (+0.30)
Under 1.5 63.64% (-0.30)

Score analysis

Troyes 34.03%
Draw 27.29%
Brest 38.66%
Troyes
1-0 @ 10.15% (-0.09)
2-1 @ 7.61% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 5.98% (-0.06)
3-1 @ 2.98% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.34% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.9% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 34.03%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.93% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 8.63% (-0.07)
2-2 @ 4.84% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.29%
Brest
0-1 @ 10.98% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 8.23% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 7% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 3.49% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 2.97% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 2.06% (+0.03)
1-4 @ 1.11% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 38.66%

Head to Head

Ligue 1 Gameweek 28
Mar 19, 2023 2.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Renaud Ripart 34' goal
  • Rony Lopes 38' goal
  • goal Pierre Lees-Melou 30'
  • goal Romain Del Castillo 74'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 15
Nov 13, 2022 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Romain Del Castillo 55' goal
  • Steve Mounie 77' goal
  • goal Brendan Chardonnet 60' (OG)
Ligue 1 Gameweek 24
Feb 13, 2022 2.00pm
5
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Martin Satriano 7' goal
  • Lucien Agoume 15' yellowcard
  • Martin Satriano 27' goal
  • Franck Honorat 49' goal
  • Michel Der Zakarian 66' yellowcard
  • Franck Honorat 67' goal
  • Steve Mounie 82' goal
  • yellowcard Florian Tardieu 43'
  • goal Adil Rami 45'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 19
Dec 22, 2021 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Issa Kabore 13' yellowcard
  • Jessy Moulin 13' yellowcard
  • Adil Rami 80' goal
  • goal Franck Honorat 5'
  • yellowcard Christophe Herelle 22'
  • yellowcard Steve Mounie 54'
Ligue 2 Gameweek 20
Jan 12, 2019 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Francis-Le Blé (Brest)
  • Mathias Autret 38' goal
  • Gautier Larsonneur 56' yellowcard
  • Gaetan Belaud 71' yellowcard
  • Mathias Autret 72' yellowcard
  • Ferris N'Goma 90' yellowcard
  • Anthony Weber 90' redcard
  • goal Bryan Mbeumo 51'
  • yellowcard Vincent Marcel 74'
  • yellowcard Johann Obiang 75'
  • redcard Johann Obiang 90'
Ligue 2
Jan 10, 2019 12.00am
Stade Francis-Le Blé (Brest)