Troyes
Coupe de France | Round of 16
Feb 4, 2025 at 6pm UK
Stade de l'Aube
Brest logo

Troyes
1 - 2
Brest

Magnetti (55' og.)
FT(HT: 0-0)
Salah (49'), Sima (90+2')
Bourgault (47'), Coulibaly (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Coupe de France clash between Troyes and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Troyes

All competitions
Coupe de France
Last Game: Troyes 3-0 Caen
Saturday, February 1 at 1pm in Ligue 2

Brest

All competitions
Coupe de France
Last Game: Brest 2-5 PSG
Saturday, February 1 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 38.67%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 34.04% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Troyes win was 1-0 (10.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brest would win this match.

Result
TroyesDrawBrest
34.04% (-0.536 -0.54)27.29% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)38.67% (0.624 0.62)
Both teams to score 49.8% (0.206 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.32% (0.291 0.29)55.68% (-0.29499999999999 -0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.17% (0.238 0.24)76.83% (-0.24199999999999 -0.24)
Troyes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.17% (-0.202 -0.2)30.83% (0.198 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.89% (-0.238 -0.24)67.11% (0.233 0.23)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72% (0.501 0.5)28% (-0.506 -0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.36% (0.638 0.64)63.64% (-0.64100000000001 -0.64)
Score Analysis
    Troyes 34.03%
    Brest 38.66%
    Draw 27.29%
TroyesDrawBrest
1-0 @ 10.15% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-1 @ 7.61% (-0.063 -0.06)
2-0 @ 5.98% (-0.135 -0.14)
3-1 @ 2.98% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.34% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.9% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 34.03%
1-1 @ 12.93% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 8.63% (-0.099 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.84% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.29%
0-1 @ 10.98% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.23% (0.093 0.09)
0-2 @ 7% (0.117 0.12)
1-3 @ 3.49% (0.088 0.09)
0-3 @ 2.97% (0.09 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.06% (0.041 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.11% (0.043 0.04)
0-4 @ 0.95% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 38.66%

How you voted: Troyes vs Brest

Troyes
16.9%
Draw
9.2%
Brest
73.8%
65
Head to Head
Mar 19, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 28
Troyes
2-2
Brest
Ripart (34'), Lopes (38')
Lees-Melou (30'), Del Castillo (74' pen.)
> Preview
Nov 13, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 15
Brest
2-1
Troyes
Del Castillo (55' pen.), Mounie (77' pen.)
Chardonnet (60' og.)
> Preview
Feb 13, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 24
Brest
5-1
Troyes
Satriano (7', 27'), Honorat (49', 67'), Mounie (82')
Agoume (15'), Der Zakarian (66')
Rami (45')
Tardieu (43')
> Preview
Dec 22, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 19
Troyes
1-1
Brest
Rami (80')
Kabore (13'), Moulin (13')
Honorat (5')
Herelle (22'), Mounie (54')
> Preview
Jan 12, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 20
Brest
1-1
Troyes
Autret (38')
Larsonneur (56'), Belaud (71'), Autret (72'), N'Goma (90')
Weber (90')
Mbeumo (51')
Marcel (74'), Obiang (75')
Obiang (90')