MX23RW : Thursday, February 13 12:44:10| >> :600:467096:467096:
Troyes
Coupe de France | Round of 16
Feb 4, 2025 at 6pm UK
Stade de l'Aube
Brest logo

Troyes
1 - 2
Brest

Magnetti (55' og.)
FT(HT: 0-0)
Salah (49'), Sima (90+2')
Bourgault (47'), Coulibaly (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Coupe de France clash between Troyes and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Troyes 3-0 Caen
Saturday, February 1 at 1pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Brest 2-5 PSG
Saturday, February 1 at 4pm in Ligue 1

We said: Troyes 0-1 Brest

Expect to see primarily defensive tactics for Troyes on Tuesday, though their upcoming opponents have the pieces to counter that and have won their share of close games domestically this year. Several of Brest's top attacking playmakers are back from the injury front and should be able to eventually unlock a stubborn ESTAC backline. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 38.67%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 34.04% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Troyes win was 1-0 (10.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brest would win this match.

Result
TroyesDrawBrest
34.04% (-0.536 -0.54) 27.29% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09) 38.67% (0.624 0.62)
Both teams to score 49.8% (0.206 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.32% (0.291 0.29)55.68% (-0.29499999999999 -0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.17% (0.238 0.24)76.83% (-0.24199999999999 -0.24)
Troyes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.17% (-0.202 -0.2)30.83% (0.198 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.89% (-0.238 -0.24)67.11% (0.233 0.23)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72% (0.501 0.5)28% (-0.506 -0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.36% (0.638 0.64)63.64% (-0.64100000000001 -0.64)
Score Analysis
    Troyes 34.03%
    Brest 38.66%
    Draw 27.29%
TroyesDrawBrest
1-0 @ 10.15% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-1 @ 7.61% (-0.063 -0.06)
2-0 @ 5.98% (-0.135 -0.14)
3-1 @ 2.98% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.34% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.9% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 34.03%
1-1 @ 12.93% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 8.63% (-0.099 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.84% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.29%
0-1 @ 10.98% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.23% (0.093 0.09)
0-2 @ 7% (0.117 0.12)
1-3 @ 3.49% (0.088 0.09)
0-3 @ 2.97% (0.09 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.06% (0.041 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.11% (0.043 0.04)
0-4 @ 0.95% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 38.66%

How you voted: Troyes vs Brest

Troyes
16.9%
Draw
9.2%
Brest
73.8%
65
Head to Head
Mar 19, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 28
Troyes
2-2
Brest
Ripart (34'), Lopes (38')
Lees-Melou (30'), Del Castillo (74' pen.)
Nov 13, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 15
Brest
2-1
Troyes
Del Castillo (55' pen.), Mounie (77' pen.)
Chardonnet (60' og.)
Feb 13, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 24
Brest
5-1
Troyes
Satriano (7', 27'), Honorat (49', 67'), Mounie (82')
Agoume (15'), Der Zakarian (66')
Rami (45')
Tardieu (43')
Dec 22, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 19
Troyes
1-1
Brest
Rami (80')
Kabore (13'), Moulin (13')
Honorat (5')
Herelle (22'), Mounie (54')
Jan 12, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 20
Brest
1-1
Troyes
Autret (38')
Larsonneur (56'), Belaud (71'), Autret (72'), N'Goma (90')
Weber (90')
Mbeumo (51')
Marcel (74'), Obiang (75')
Obiang (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool24176158233557
2Arsenal24148249222750
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest24145540271347
4Chelsea24127547311643
5Manchester CityMan City24125748351341
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle24125742291341
7Bournemouth24117641281340
8Aston Villa2410773437-337
9Fulham249963632436
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2481063538-334
11Brentford2494114242031
12Crystal Palace247982830-230
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2485112834-629
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs24831348371127
15Everton246992530-527
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2476112946-1727
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2454153452-1819
18Leicester CityLeicester2445152553-2817
19Ipswich TownIpswich2437142249-2716
20Southampton2423191854-369


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!