Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 42.54%. A win for Caen had a probability of 30.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Caen win was 0-1 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Troyes would win this match.

Result
Troyes	Draw	Caen
42.54% ( 0.72)	26.52% ( -0.21)	30.94% ( -0.52)

Both teams to score 51.26% (

0.44)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.59% (

0.66)

53.4% (

-0.66)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.06% (

0.55)

74.94% (

-0.56)

Troyes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.14% (

0.67)

24.86% (

-0.67)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.54% (

0.92)

59.46% (

-0.92)

Caen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.22% (

-0.03)

31.78% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.79% (

-0.03)

68.21% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Troyes 42.53%

Caen 30.94%

Draw 26.52%

Troyes	Draw	Caen
1-0 @ 10.99% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.77% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 7.65% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 4.07% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 3.55% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 2.33% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.51% Total : 42.53%	1-1 @ 12.6% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 7.9% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 5.03% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.52%	0-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.24) 1-2 @ 7.23% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.8% Total : 30.94%