Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 23

Feb 23, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Parc Olympique Lyonnais

Lyon
2 - 3
PSG

Cherki (83'), Tolisso (90+2')
Almada (85')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Hakimi (53', 85'), Dembele (59')
Hakimi (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lyon and Paris Saint-Germain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lyon

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Montpellier 1-4 Lyon
Sunday, February 16 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: PSG 7-0 Brest
Wednesday, February 19 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 46.81%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 29.89% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.77%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Lyon win was 2-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Lyon	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
29.89% ( 0.22)	23.29% ( -0.02)	46.81% ( -0.2)

Both teams to score 61.53% (

0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.26% (

0.2)

39.73% (

-0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.91% (

0.21)

62.09% (

-0.22)

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.38% (

0.24)

25.62% (

-0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.49% (

0.33)

60.5% (

-0.34)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.72% (

-0)

17.28% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.38% (

-0)

47.61% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Lyon 29.89%

Paris Saint-Germain 46.81%

Draw 23.29%

Lyon	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 7.21% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 6.03% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.27% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1.86% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.45% Total : 29.89%	1-1 @ 10.58% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.33% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.43% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.29%	1-2 @ 9.29% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.77% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 6.82% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 5.44% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.99% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 3.7% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 2.39% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.75% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.63% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.03% Total : 46.81%