Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 53.07%. A win for Reims had a probability of 24.67% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.16%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Reims win was 1-2 (6.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.