PSG logo
Champions League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Feb 19, 2025 at 8pm UK
Parc des Princes
Brest logo

PSG
7 - 0
Brest

Barcola (20'), Kvaratskhelia (39'), Vitinha (59'), Doue (64'), Mendes (69'), Ramos (76'), Mayulu (86')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Haidara (67'), Le Cardinal (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brest 2-2 Auxerre
Friday, February 14 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 64.94%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Brest had a probability of 15.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 1-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.01%), while for a Brest win it was 1-2 (4.41%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawBrest
64.94% (0.254 0.25)19.36% (-0.080000000000002 -0.08)15.69% (-0.179 -0.18)
Both teams to score 55.42% (-0.142 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.35% (0.018000000000001 0.02)38.65% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.05% (0.018000000000001 0.02)60.95% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.81% (0.067999999999998 0.07)11.18% (-0.075000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.31% (0.158 0.16)35.69% (-0.163 -0.16)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.4% (-0.212 -0.21)37.6% (0.20699999999999 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.62% (-0.206 -0.21)74.38% (0.20099999999999 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 64.94%
    Brest 15.69%
    Draw 19.36%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawBrest
2-0 @ 10.09% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.87% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.21% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 7.37% (0.059 0.06)
3-1 @ 7.21% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
4-0 @ 4.04% (0.044 0.04)
4-1 @ 3.95% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.53% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.93% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.77% (0.024 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.73% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 4.26%
Total : 64.94%
1-1 @ 9.01% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.83% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.21% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 19.36%
1-2 @ 4.41% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
0-1 @ 4.11% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.01% (-0.025 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.57% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.44% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 15.69%

How you voted: PSG vs Brest

Paris Saint-Germain
84.1%
Draw
12.7%
Brest
3.2%
126
Head to Head
Feb 11, 2025 5.45pm
Knockout Round Playoffs 1st Leg
Brest
0-3
PSG

Chardonnet (74')
Vitinha (21' pen.), Dembele (45', 66')
Barcola (70')
Feb 1, 2025 4pm
Gameweek 20
Brest
2-5
PSG
Del Castillo (50'), Ajorque (71')
Sima (36')
Dembele (29', 57', 62'), Ramos (89', 90+7')
Sep 14, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 4
PSG
3-1
Brest
Dembele (42', 74'), Ruiz (73')
Beraldo (26'), Mendes (28')
Del Castillo (29' pen.)
Camara (39'), Ajorque (49'), Chardonnet (59')
Feb 7, 2024 8.10pm
Round of 16
PSG
3-1
Brest
Mbappe (34'), Pereira (37'), Ramos (90+2')
Mounie (65')
Magnetti (14'), Brassier (60')
Brassier (69')
Jan 28, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
PSG
2-2
Brest
Asensio (38'), Kolo (45')
Hernandez (26'), Mbappe (53'), Zaire-Emery (58'), Barcola (90+2')
Barcola (90+4')
Camara (55'), Pereira Lage (80')
Lees-Melou (32'), Lala (53'), Brassier (59')
rhs 2.0


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