Champions League
PSG
Feb 19, 2025 8.00pm
7
0
HT : 2 0
FT Parc des Princes
Brest
  • Bradley Barcola 20' goal
  • Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 39' goal
  • Vitinha 59' goal
  • Desire Doue 64' goal
  • Nuno Mendes 69' goal
  • Goncalo Ramos 76' goal
  • Senny Mayulu 86' goal
  • yellowcard Massadio Haidara 67'
  • yellowcard Julien Le Cardinal 80'

Paris Saint-Germain vs Brest - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Feb 11, 2025 5.45pm
Brest 0 - 3 PSG

Brest

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Feb 11, 2025 5.45pm
Brest 0 - 3 PSG

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 64.94%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Brest had a probability of 15.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 1-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.01%), while for a Brest win it was 1-2 (4.41%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result

Paris Saint-Germain 64.94% ▲ (+0.26)
Draw 19.36% ▼ (-0.09)
Brest 15.69% ▼ (-0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.42% ▼ (-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.35% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 38.65% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 3.5 39.05% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 60.95% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 4.5 21.38% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 78.62% ▼ (-0.02)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5 88.81% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 0.5 11.18% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 1.5 64.31% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 1.5 35.69% ▼ (-0.17)

Brest Goals

Over 0.5 62.4% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 0.5 37.6% ▲ (+0.21)
Over 1.5 25.62% ▼ (-0.21)
Under 1.5 74.38% ▲ (+0.21)

Score analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 64.94%
Draw 19.36%
Brest 15.69%
Paris Saint-Germain
2-0 @ 10.09% ▲ (+0.06)
2-1 @ 9.87% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 9.21% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 7.37% ▲ (+0.06)
3-1 @ 7.21% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 4.04% ▲ (+0.05)
4-1 @ 3.95% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.53% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.93% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.77% ▲ (+0.03)
5-1 @ 1.73% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 4.26%
Total : 64.94%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.01% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 4.83% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 4.21% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 19.36%
Brest
1-2 @ 4.41% ▼ (-0.05)
0-1 @ 4.11% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 2.01% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.44% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 15.69%

Head to Head

Champions League
Brest
Feb 11, 2025 5.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Stade du Roudourou
PSG
  • Brendan Chardonnet 74' yellowcard
  • goal Vitinha 21'
  • goal Ousmane Dembele 45'
  • goal Ousmane Dembele 66'
  • yellowcard Bradley Barcola 70'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 20
Brest
Feb 1, 2025 4.00pm
2
5
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Francis-Le Ble
PSG
  • Abdallah Sima 36' yellowcard
  • Romain Del Castillo 50' goal
  • Ludovic Ajorque 71' goal
  • goal Ousmane Dembele 29'
  • goal Ousmane Dembele 57'
  • goal Ousmane Dembele 62'
  • goal Goncalo Ramos 89'
  • goal Goncalo Ramos 90'+7'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 4
PSG
Sep 14, 2024 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Parc des Princes
Brest
  • Lucas Beraldo 26' yellowcard
  • Nuno Mendes 28' yellowcard
  • Ousmane Dembele 42' goal
  • Fabian Ruiz 73' goal
  • Ousmane Dembele 74' goal
  • goal Romain Del Castillo 29'
  • yellowcard Mahdi Camara 39'
  • yellowcard Ludovic Ajorque 49'
  • yellowcard Brendan Chardonnet 59'
Coupe de France
PSG
Feb 7, 2024 8.10pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Parc des Princes
Brest
  • Kylian Mbappe 34' goal
  • Danilo Pereira 37' goal
  • Goncalo Ramos 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Hugo Magnetti 14'
  • yellowcard Lilian Brassier 60'
  • goal Steve Mounie 65'
  • redcard Lilian Brassier 69'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 19
PSG
Jan 28, 2024 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT Parc des Princes
Brest
  • Lucas Hernandez 26' yellowcard
  • Marco Asensio 38' goal
  • Randal Kolo 45' goal
  • Kylian Mbappe 53' yellowcard
  • Warren Zaire-Emery 58' yellowcard
  • Bradley Barcola 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Bradley Barcola 90'+4' redcard
  • yellowcard Pierre Lees-Melou 32'
  • yellowcard Kenny Lala 53'
  • goal Mahdi Camara 55'
  • yellowcard Lilian Brassier 59'
  • goal Mathias Pereira Lage 80'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 10
Brest
Oct 29, 2023 12.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT Stade Francis-Le Ble
PSG
  • Eric Roy 0' yellowcard
  • Steve Mounie 43' goal
  • Jeremy Le Douaron 52' goal
  • Lilian Brassier 86' yellowcard
  • Jonas Martin 87' yellowcard
  • Marco Bizot 88' yellowcard
  • goal Warren Zaire-Emery 16'
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 28'
  • yellowcard Achraf Hakimi 87'
  • yellowcard Fabian Ruiz 88'
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 89'
  • yellowcard Kylian Mbappe 89'
  • yellowcard Randal Kolo 90'+4'

Form Data

Toulouse 0 - 1 PSG
Brest 0 - 3 PSG
PSG 4 - 1 Monaco
Le Mans 0 - 2 PSG
Brest 2 - 5 PSG
Stuttgart 1 - 4 PSG
Brest 2 - 2 Auxerre
Brest 0 - 3 PSG
Nantes 0 - 2 Brest
Troyes 1 - 2 Brest
Brest 2 - 5 PSG
Brest 0 - 3 Real Madrid