Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 22

Feb 14, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Stade Francis-Le Ble

Brest
2 - 2
Auxerre

Ndiaye (60'), Ajorque (79')
Balde (25'), Ndiaye (71')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Perrin (18', 74')
Akpa (30'), Diousse (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Auxerre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brest

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Brest 0-3 PSG
Tuesday, February 11 at 5.45pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Auxerre

All competitions

Last Game: Auxerre 2-2 Toulouse
Sunday, February 9 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 39.94%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 35.09% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 1-2 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Brest	Draw	Auxerre
39.94% ( 0.47)	24.97% ( -0.12)	35.09% ( -0.34)

Both teams to score 57.67% (

0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.31% (

0.52)

45.69% (

-0.51)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.99% (

0.49)

68.01% (

-0.48)

Brest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.25% (

0.47)

22.75% (

-0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.57% (

0.69)

56.44% (

-0.68)

Auxerre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.66% (

0.05)

25.35% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.87% (

0.06)

60.13% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Brest 39.94%

Auxerre 35.09%

Draw 24.96%

Brest	Draw	Auxerre
2-1 @ 8.68% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 8.54% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 6.32% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.28% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 3.12% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.25% Total : 39.94%	1-1 @ 11.71% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.96%	1-2 @ 8.04% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 7.92% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 3.68% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.62% Total : 35.09%