Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 39.94%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 35.09% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 1-2 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.