Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 63.92%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Rennes had a probability of 16.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.69%) and 0-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.03%), while for a Rennes win it was 2-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.