Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 50.64%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 27.22% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.14%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 1-2 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.