Champions League
Mar 5, 2025 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Parc des Princes
  • Marquinhos 38' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Virgil van Dijk 70'
  • goal Harvey Elliott 87'
  • goal Harvey Elliott 87'

Paris Saint-Germain vs Liverpool - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions

Liverpool

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 50.64%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 27.22% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.14%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 1-2 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result

Paris Saint-Germain 50.64% (-0.05)
Draw 22.13% (+0.01)
Liverpool 27.22% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.69% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 63.99% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 36.01% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 41.89% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 58.11% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 23.68% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 76.32% (+0.02)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5 85.47% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 14.52% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 57.45% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 42.55% (+0.04)

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5 74.52% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 25.48% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 39.68% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 60.31% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 50.64%
Draw 22.13%
Liverpool 27.22%
Paris Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 9.42% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.14% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.89% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.06% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.43% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 4.14% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.92% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.14% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 2% (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.13% (-0.01)
Other @ 4.39%
Total : 50.64%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.76% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.44% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 3.7% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.89% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 22.13%
Liverpool
1-2 @ 6.67% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 5.06% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.46% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.04% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.94% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.58% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.04% (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 27.22%

Head to Head

Champions League Gameweek 5
Nov 28, 2018 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Juan Bernat 13' goal
  • Marco Verratti 24' yellowcard
  • Neymar 37' goal
  • Neymar 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Georginio Wijnaldum 17'
  • yellowcard Joe Gomez 34'
  • goal James Milner 45'
  • yellowcard Daniel Sturridge 84'
  • yellowcard Virgil van Dijk 90'
  • yellowcard Andrew Robertson 90'
  • yellowcard Naby Keita 90'
Champions League Gameweek 1
Sep 18, 2018 8.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Virgil van Dijk 27' yellowcard
  • Daniel Sturridge 30' goal
  • James Milner 36' goal
  • Roberto Firmino 90' goal
  • goal Thomas Meunier 40'
  • yellowcard Thomas Meunier 45'
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 83'

Build-up

News
News
News