Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 26

Mar 16, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Parc des Princes

PSG
3 - 1
Marseille

Dembele (17'), Mendes (42'), Lirola (76' og.)
Mendes (26')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Gouiri (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Liverpool 0-1 PSG (1-4 pen.)
Tuesday, March 11 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Marseille

All competitions

Last Game: Marseille 0-1 Lens
Saturday, March 8 at 8.05pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 56.07%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 22.33% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.29%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Marseille win was 1-2 (5.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Paris Saint-Germain in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Paris Saint-Germain.

Result
Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Marseille
56.07% ( -0.5)	21.59% ( 0.38)	22.33% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 60% (

-1.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.57% (

-1.68)

38.42% (

1.68)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.28% (

-1.8)

60.71% (

1.81)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.37% (

-0.7)

13.63% (

0.7)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.21% (

-1.42)

40.79% (

1.42)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.46% (

-0.84)

30.54% (

0.85)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.24% (

-1.01)

66.76% (

1.02)

Score Analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 56.07%

Marseille 22.33%

Draw 21.59%

Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Marseille
2-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 8.29% ( 0.44) 2-0 @ 8.27% ( 0.23) 3-1 @ 6.51% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.18) 4-1 @ 3.25% ( -0.16) 4-0 @ 2.74% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.14) 5-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.1) 5-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.55% Total : 56.07%	1-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.31) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 4.16% ( 0.32) 3-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.25% Total : 21.59%	1-2 @ 5.84% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 4.94% ( 0.28) 0-2 @ 2.93% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.87% Total : 22.33%