Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 23

Feb 22, 2025 at 8.05pm UK

Stade de l'Abbe Deschamps

Auxerre
3 - 0
Marseille

Perrin (34'), Jubal (77' pen., 90+1')
Hoever (59')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Cornelius (38'), Rulli (75')
Cornelius (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Auxerre and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Auxerre

All competitions

Last Game: Brest 2-2 Auxerre
Friday, February 14 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Marseille

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Marseille 5-1 St Etienne
Saturday, February 15 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 51.56%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Auxerre had a probability of 23.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.67%) and 1-2 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for an Auxerre win it was 1-0 (7.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
Auxerre	Draw	Marseille
23.33% ( -0.43)	25.11% ( -0.03)	51.56% ( 0.46)

Both teams to score 49.75% (

-0.4)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.41% (

-0.29)

52.59% (

0.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.76% (

-0.25)

74.24% (

0.25)

Auxerre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.49% (

-0.56)

37.5% (

0.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.71% (

-0.55)

74.29% (

0.55)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.6% (

0.07)

20.4% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.18% (

0.12)

52.82% (

-0.12)

Score Analysis

Auxerre 23.33%

Marseille 51.56%

Draw 25.11%

Auxerre	Draw	Marseille
1-0 @ 7.5% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 5.85% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 3.68% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.66% Total : 23.33%	1-1 @ 11.92% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.65% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.89% Total : 25.11%	0-1 @ 12.16% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 9.67% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 9.48% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 5.12% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 5.02% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 2.04% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 2% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.63% Total : 51.56%