Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 24

Mar 2, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Stade Velodrome

Marseille
2 - 0
Nantes

Rabiot (11'), Gouiri (73'), Greenwood (77')
Hojbjerg (37')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Amian (51'), Leroux (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

All competitions

Last Game: Auxerre 3-0 Marseille
Saturday, February 22 at 8.05pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Nantes

All competitions

Last Game: Nantes 3-1 Lens
Sunday, February 23 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 72.17%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 11.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 3-0 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.64%), while for a Nantes win it was 1-2 (3.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Marseille in this match.

Result
Marseille	Draw	Nantes
72.17% ( 0.85)	16.45% ( -0.29)	11.39% ( -0.55)

Both teams to score 53.51% (

-0.81)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.97% (

-0.11)

35.03% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.98% (

-0.12)

57.03% (

0.12)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.52% (

0.16)

8.48% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.59% (

0.39)

29.42% (

-0.39)

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.47% (

-0.99)

41.53% (

0.99)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.98% (

-0.88)

78.03% (

0.89)

Score Analysis

Marseille 72.17%

Nantes 11.39%

Draw 16.45%

Marseille	Draw	Nantes
2-0 @ 10.72% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 8.82% ( 0.25) 1-0 @ 8.69% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 7.75% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 5.44% ( 0.19) 4-1 @ 4.78% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.09) 5-0 @ 2.68% ( 0.11) 5-1 @ 2.36% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.04) 6-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.05) 5-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.9% Total : 72.17%	1-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.15% Total : 16.45%	1-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 3.1% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.38% Total : 11.39%