Ligue 1 Gameweek 24
Marseille
Mar 2, 2025 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Velodrome
Nantes
  • Adrien Rabiot 11' goal
  • Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg 37' yellowcard
  • Amine Gouiri 73' goal
  • Mason Greenwood 77' goal
  • yellowcard Kelvin Amian 51'
  • yellowcard Louis Leroux 75'

Marseille vs Nantes - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

All competitions
Last game
Feb 22, 2025 8.05pm
Auxerre 3 - 0 Marseille
Goals scored
74
Top scorer
Mason Greenwood

Nantes

All competitions
Last game
Feb 23, 2025 2.00pm
Nantes 3 - 1 Lens
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Moses Simon

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 72.17%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 11.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 3-0 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.64%), while for a Nantes win it was 1-2 (3.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Marseille in this match.

Result

Marseille 72.17% ▲ (+0.85)
Draw 16.45% ▼ (-0.30)
Nantes 11.39% ▼ (-0.56)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.51% ▼ (-0.82)

Goals

Over 2.5 64.97% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 2.5 35.03% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 3.5 42.98% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 3.5 57.03% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 4.5 24.58% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 4.5 75.42% ▲ (+0.11)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5 91.52% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 0.5 8.48% ▼ (-0.17)
Over 1.5 70.59% ▲ (+0.40)
Under 1.5 29.42% ▼ (-0.40)

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5 58.47% ▼ (-1.00)
Under 0.5 41.53% ▲ (+1.00)
Over 1.5 21.98% ▼ (-0.89)
Under 1.5 78.03% ▲ (+0.89)

Score analysis

Marseille 72.17%
Draw 16.45%
Nantes 11.39%
Marseille
2-0 @ 10.72% ▲ (+0.23)
2-1 @ 9.42% ▼ (-0.07)
3-0 @ 8.82% ▲ (+0.25)
1-0 @ 8.69% ▲ (+0.12)
3-1 @ 7.75% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 5.44% ▲ (+0.20)
4-1 @ 4.78% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3.4% ▼ (-0.10)
5-0 @ 2.68% ▲ (+0.12)
5-1 @ 2.36% ▲ (+0.04)
4-2 @ 2.1% ▼ (-0.04)
6-0 @ 1.1% ▲ (+0.06)
5-2 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 72.17%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.64% ▼ (-0.11)
2-2 @ 4.14% ▼ (-0.15)
0-0 @ 3.52% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 1.15%
Total : 16.45%
Nantes
1-2 @ 3.36% ▼ (-0.15)
0-1 @ 3.1% ▼ (-0.07)
0-2 @ 1.36% ▼ (-0.07)
2-3 @ 1.21% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 11.39%

Head to Head

Ligue 1 Gameweek 10
Nantes
Nov 3, 2024 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
Marseille
  • Tino Kadewere 39' goal
  • Nicolas Pallois 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Neal Maupay 24'
  • goal Mason Greenwood 61'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Balerdi 90'+3'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 25
Marseille
Mar 10, 2024 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Velodrome
Nantes
  • Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 17' goal
  • Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 74' yellowcard
  • Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 79' goal
  • Chancel Mbemba 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Douglas 27'
  • yellowcard Kelvin Amian 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Jocelyn Gourvennec 80'
  • yellowcard Moussa Sissoko 90'+6'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 4
Nantes
Sep 1, 2023 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
Marseille
  • Bastien Meupiyou 9' redcard
  • Mostafa Mohamed 39' goal
  • Pierre Aristouy 69' yellowcard
  • goal Ismaila Sarr 4'
  • yellowcard Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 26'
  • yellowcard Valentin Rongier 70'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 21
Nantes
Feb 1, 2023 6.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Marseille
  • goal Joao Victor 57' (OG)
  • goal Azzedine Ounahi 90'+3'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 3
Marseille
Aug 20, 2022 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Nantes
  • Valentin Rongier 55' yellowcard
  • Samuel Gigot 60' yellowcard
  • Chancel Mbemba 70' goal
  • Pau Lopez 76' yellowcard
  • Samuel Gigot 76' redcard
  • Nicolas Pallois 82' goal
  • Jordan Veretout 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Evann Guessand 59'
  • goal Ludovic Blas 78'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 33
Marseille
Apr 20, 2022 8.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 2
FT
Nantes
  • Luan Peres 35' yellowcard
  • Dimitri Payet 39' goal
  • Dimitri Payet 55' goal
  • Amine Harit 75' goal
  • Arkadiusz Milik 87' yellowcard
  • goal Andrei Girotto 26'
  • yellowcard Ludovic Blas 32'
  • goal Marcus Coco 41'
  • yellowcard Marcus Coco 45'
  • yellowcard Fabio Da Silva 81'
  • yellowcard Dennis Appiah 90'+1'
  • redcard Marcus Coco 90'+3'

Form Data

Auxerre 3 - 0 Marseille
Marseille 5 - 1 St Etienne
Angers 0 - 2 Marseille
Marseille 3 - 2 Lyon
Nice 2 - 0 Marseille
Marseille 1 - 1 Strasbourg
Nantes 3 - 1 Lens
Monaco 7 - 1 Nantes
Nantes 0 - 2 Brest
Reims 1 - 2 Nantes
Nantes 1 - 1 Lyon
St Etienne 1 - 1 Nantes