Champions League

Champions League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg

Mar 11, 2025 at 8pm UK

Anfield

Liverpool
0 - 1
PSG

(1-1 on aggregate)

Mac Allister (90+2'), Mac Allister (90+2')

FT
(aet)

Dembele (12')
Marquinhos (46')

PSG win 4-1 on penalties

Reaction

Liverpool's Curtis Jones looks dejected after missing a penalty on March 11, 2025

Liverpool (1) 0-1 PSG (1) (1-4 pens) : Curtis Jones joins unwanted club following Champions League shootout miss

Liverpool midfielder Curtis Jones joins John Terry in an unwanted club after missing from the spot in their defeat to Paris Saint-Germain.

Mar 11, 23:37

Liverpool's Trent Alexander-Arnold and Ibrahima Konate warm up on November 5, 2023

Liverpool dealt huge EFL Cup final worry as defender suffers knee injury in PSG Champions League clash

Liverpool suffer a huge injury worry ahead of this weekend's EFL Cup final, as Trent Alexander-Arnold appears to hurt his knee against Paris Saint-Germain.

Mar 11, 21:47

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Liverpool

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Liverpool 3-1 Southampton
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Rennes 1-4 PSG
Saturday, March 8 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 48.04%. A win for Paris Saint-Germain had a probability of 28.09% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%).

Result
Liverpool	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
48.04% ( -0.15)	23.87% ( 0.05)	28.09% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 58.22% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.45% (

-0.14)

43.54% (

0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.06% (

-0.14)

65.94% (

0.14)

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.72% (

-0.11)

18.27% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.66% (

-0.2)

49.33% (

0.2)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.24% (

28.76% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.4% (

64.6%

Score Analysis

Liverpool 48.04%

Paris Saint-Germain 28.09%

Draw 23.87%

Liverpool	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 9.46% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.93% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.59% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.36% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.3% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.28% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.83% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.52% Total : 48.04%	1-1 @ 11.13% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.26% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.87%	1-2 @ 6.94% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.55% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 4.08% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.45% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.5% Total : 28.09%