Champions League
Liverpool
Mar 11, 2025 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
ET Anfield
PSG
  • Alexis Mac Allister 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Alexis Mac Allister 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Ousmane Dembele 12'
  • yellowcard Marquinhos 46'

Liverpool vs Paris Saint-Germain - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Liverpool

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Mar 5, 2025 8.00pm
PSG 0 - 1 Liverpool

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Mar 5, 2025 8.00pm
PSG 0 - 1 Liverpool

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 48.04%. A win for Paris Saint-Germain had a probability of 28.09% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%).

Result

Liverpool 48.04% ▼ (-0.16)
Draw 23.87% ▲ (+0.05)
Paris Saint-Germain 28.09% ▲ (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.22% ▼ (-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.45% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 2.5 43.54% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 3.5 34.06% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 3.5 65.94% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 4.5 17.57% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 4.5 82.43% ▲ (+0.11)

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5 81.72% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 0.5 18.27% ▲ (+0.12)
Over 1.5 50.66% ▼ (-0.20)
Under 1.5 49.33% ▲ (+0.20)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5 71.24% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 28.76% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 35.4% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 64.6%

Score analysis

Liverpool 48.04%
Draw 23.87%
Paris Saint-Germain 28.09%
Liverpool
2-1 @ 9.46% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.93% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 7.59% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.36% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 4.3% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.34% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 2.28% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.83% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.42% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 48.04%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.13% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.9% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.26% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.39% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.87%
Paris Saint-Germain
1-2 @ 6.94% ▲ (+0.02)
0-1 @ 6.55% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 4.08% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.88% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.45% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.7% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 28.09%

Head to Head

Champions League
PSG
Mar 5, 2025 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Parc des Princes
Liverpool
  • Marquinhos 38' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Virgil van Dijk 70'
  • goal Harvey Elliott 87'
  • goal Harvey Elliott 87'
Champions League Gameweek 5
PSG
Nov 28, 2018 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT
Liverpool
  • Juan Bernat 13' goal
  • Marco Verratti 24' yellowcard
  • Neymar 37' goal
  • Neymar 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Georginio Wijnaldum 17'
  • yellowcard Joe Gomez 34'
  • goal James Milner 45'
  • yellowcard Daniel Sturridge 84'
  • yellowcard Virgil van Dijk 90'
  • yellowcard Andrew Robertson 90'
  • yellowcard Naby Keita 90'
Champions League Gameweek 1
Liverpool
Sep 18, 2018 8.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT
PSG
  • Virgil van Dijk 27' yellowcard
  • Daniel Sturridge 30' goal
  • James Milner 36' goal
  • Roberto Firmino 90' goal
  • goal Thomas Meunier 40'
  • yellowcard Thomas Meunier 45'
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 83'

Form Data

Liverpool 3 - 1 Southampton
PSG 0 - 1 Liverpool
Liverpool 2 - 0 Newcastle
Man City 0 - 2 Liverpool
Aston Villa 2 - 2 Liverpool
Liverpool 2 - 1 Wolves
Rennes 1 - 4 PSG
PSG 0 - 1 Liverpool
PSG 4 - 1 Lille
Stade Briochin 0 - 7 PSG
Lyon 2 - 3 PSG
PSG 7 - 0 Brest

Build-up

News
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