Premier League Gameweek 28
Liverpool
Mar 8, 2025 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT Anfield
Southampton
  • Kostas Tsimikas 31' yellowcard
  • Darwin Nunez 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Darwin Nunez 51' goal
  • Mohamed Salah 54' goal
  • Mohamed Salah 88' goal
  • goal William Smallbone 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Paul Onuachu 90'+6'

Liverpool vs Southampton - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Liverpool

All competitions
Last game
Feb 26, 2025 8.15pm
Liverpool 2 - 0 Newcastle
Goals scored
86
Top scorer
Mohamed Salah

Southampton

All competitions
Last game
Feb 25, 2025 8.15pm
Chelsea 4 - 0 Southampton
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Paul Onuachu

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 87.51%. A draw had a probability of 8.5% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 4.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.79%) and 4-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.89%), while for a Southampton win it was 1-2 (1.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result

Liverpool 87.51% ▲ (+0.01)
Draw 8.47% ▼ (-0.01)
Southampton 4.02% ▲ (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.49% ▲ (+0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5 77.36% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 2.5 22.64% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 3.5 58.23% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 3.5 41.77% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 4.5 38.71% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 4.5 61.3% ▼ (-0.18)

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5 96.68% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 0.5 3.32% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 1.5 85.38% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 14.62% ▼ (-0.07)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5 49.13% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 0.5 50.88% ▼ (-0.16)
Over 1.5 14.74% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 1.5 85.26% ▼ (-0.11)

Score analysis

Liverpool 87.5%
Draw 8.47%
Southampton 4.02%
Liverpool
3-0 @ 11.11% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 9.79% ▼ (-0.06)
4-0 @ 9.46% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 7.51% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 6.62% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 6.45% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 6.4% ▲ (+0.02)
1-0 @ 5.75% ▼ (-0.05)
5-1 @ 4.36% ▲ (+0.02)
6-0 @ 3.66% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.54% ▲ (+0.02)
6-1 @ 2.47% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 2.16% ▲ (+0.02)
7-0 @ 1.78% ▲ (+0.01)
5-2 @ 1.47% ▲ (+0.02)
7-1 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.78%
Total : 87.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 3.89% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 2.24% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 1.69% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 8.47%
Southampton
1-2 @ 1.31% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 4.02%

Head to Head

EFL Cup
Southampton
Dec 18, 2024 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT St. Mary's Stadium
Liverpool
  • Flynn Downes 57' yellowcard
  • Cameron Archer 59' goal
  • Ben Brereton Diaz 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Darwin Nunez 24'
  • goal Harvey Elliott 32'
  • yellowcard Harvey Elliott 57'
  • yellowcard James McConnell 90'
Premier League Gameweek 12
Southampton
Nov 24, 2024 2.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT St. Mary's Stadium
Liverpool
  • Adam Lallana 23' yellowcard
  • Adam Armstrong 42' goal
  • Mateus Fernandes 56' goal
  • Adam Armstrong 73' yellowcard
  • Jack Stephens 90'+8' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Conor Bradley 13'
  • yellowcard Ibrahima Konate 16'
  • goal Dominik Szoboszlai 30'
  • yellowcard Cody Gakpo 49'
  • goal Mohamed Salah 65'
  • goal Mohamed Salah 83'
  • yellowcard Mohamed Salah 84'
FA Cup
Liverpool
Feb 28, 2024 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Anfield
Southampton
  • Lewis Koumas 44' goal
  • Jayden Danns 73' goal
  • Jayden Danns 88' goal
  • yellowcard Ryan Manning 79'
Premier League Gameweek 38
Southampton
May 28, 2023 4.30pm
4
4
HT : 2 2
FT
Liverpool
  • James Ward-Prowse 19' goal
  • Kamal Deen Sulemana 28' goal
  • Kamal Deen Sulemana 48' goal
  • Adam Armstrong 64' goal
  • goal Diogo Jota 10'
  • goal Roberto Firmino 14'
  • goal Cody Gakpo 72'
  • goal Diogo Jota 73'
Premier League Gameweek 16
Liverpool
Nov 12, 2022 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 3 1
FT
Southampton
  • Roberto Firmino 6' goal
  • Darwin Nunez 21' goal
  • Darwin Nunez 42' goal
  • goal Che Adams 9'
Premier League Gameweek 37
Southampton
May 17, 2022 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
Liverpool
  • Nathan Redmond 13' goal
  • Nathan Tella 69' yellowcard
  • Jack Stephens 74' yellowcard
  • goal Takumi Minamino 27'
  • goal Joel Matip 67'

Form Data

PSG 0 - 1 Liverpool
Liverpool 2 - 0 Newcastle
Man City 0 - 2 Liverpool
Aston Villa 2 - 2 Liverpool
Liverpool 2 - 1 Wolves
Everton 2 - 2 Liverpool
Chelsea 4 - 0 Southampton
Southampton 0 - 4 Brighton
Southampton 1 - 3 Bournemouth
Southampton 0 - 1 Burnley
Ipswich 1 - 2 Southampton
Southampton 1 - 3 Newcastle

Build-up

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