Coupe de France
Apr 1, 2025 8.10pm
2
4
HT : 2 1
FT Stade Pierre-Mauroy
  • Vincent Sasso 7' goal
  • Muhannad Yahya Saeed Al Saad 27' goal
  • goal Ousmane Dembele 45'
  • goal Marquinhos 48'
  • goal Desire Doue 62'
  • yellowcard Lucas Beraldo 81'
  • goal Ousmane Dembele 90'+3'

Dunkerque vs Paris Saint-Germain - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Dunkerque

All competitions

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 71.82%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Dunkerque had a probability of 11.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-3 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.4%), while for a Dunkerque win it was 2-1 (3.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result

Dunkerque 11.9% (-0.02)
Draw 16.27% (+0.01)
Paris Saint-Germain 71.82% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.12% (-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 67.38% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 32.62% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 45.71% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 54.29% (+0.06)
Over 4.5 26.91% (-0.05)
Under 4.5 73.09% (+0.05)

Dunkerque Goals

Over 0.5 60.98% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 39.02% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 24.26% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 75.74% (+0.06)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5 92.03% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 7.97% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 71.88% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 28.12% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Dunkerque 11.9%
Draw 16.27%
Paris Saint-Germain 71.82%
Dunkerque
2-1 @ 3.48% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 2.93% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.38% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 1.38%
3-1 @ 1.09% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 11.9%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.4% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.41% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.11% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 16.27%
Paris Saint-Germain
0-2 @ 9.95% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 9.36% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 8.39% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 7.9% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 7.86% (+0.02)
0-4 @ 5.31% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 4.99% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.72% (-0.01)
0-5 @ 2.69% (+0.01)
1-5 @ 2.53% (-0.01)
2-4 @ 2.35% (-0.01)
2-5 @ 1.19% (-0.01)
0-6 @ 1.13%
1-6 @ 1.07% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 71.82%