Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 71.82%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Dunkerque had a probability of 11.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-3 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.4%), while for a Dunkerque win it was 2-1 (3.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Dunkerque	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
11.9% ( -0.53)	16.27% ( -0.87)	71.82% ( 1.4)

Both teams to score 56.12% (

1.67)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.38% (

2.91)

32.62% (

-2.92)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.71% (

3.3)

54.29% (

-3.3)

Dunkerque Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.98% (

1.14)

39.02% (

-1.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.26% (

1.06)

75.74% (

-1.06)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.03% (

1.03)

7.97% (

-1.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.88% (

2.55)

28.12% (

-2.55)

Score Analysis

Dunkerque 11.9%

Paris Saint-Germain 71.82%

Draw 16.27%

Dunkerque	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 3.48% ( -0.14) 1-0 @ 2.93% ( -0.37) 3-2 @ 1.38% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.64% Total : 11.9%	1-1 @ 7.4% ( -0.54) 2-2 @ 4.41% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 3.11% ( -0.51) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.19% Total : 16.27%	0-2 @ 9.95% ( -0.52) 1-2 @ 9.36% ( -0.2) 0-3 @ 8.39% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 7.9% ( 0.22) 0-1 @ 7.86% ( -0.84) 0-4 @ 5.31% ( 0.24) 1-4 @ 4.99% ( 0.38) 2-3 @ 3.72% ( 0.22) 0-5 @ 2.69% ( 0.25) 1-5 @ 2.53% ( 0.3) 2-4 @ 2.35% ( 0.24) 2-5 @ 1.19% ( 0.17) 0-6 @ 1.13% ( 0.15) 1-6 @ 1.07% ( 0.17) Other @ 3.4% Total : 71.82%