Ligue 2 | Gameweek 27
Mar 15, 2025 at 1pm UK
Stade Marcel-Tribut
Metz logo

Dunkerque
2 - 3
Metz

Queiros (54'), Bammou (90+4')
Skytta (39'), Foungognan Sekongo (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sabaly (30', 72'), Bokele Mputu (90+11')
Bokele Mputu (90+11'), Mboula (90')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Dunkerque and Metz.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rodez AF 5-1 Dunkerque
Monday, March 10 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Metz 5-1 Annecy
Saturday, March 8 at 7pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 44.2%. A win for Dunkerque had a probability of 28.08% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.62%) and 1-2 (8.59%). The likeliest Dunkerque win was 1-0 (9.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Metz would win this match.

Result
DunkerqueDrawMetz
28.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)27.71% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)44.2% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Both teams to score 46.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.01% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)58.99% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)79.46% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Dunkerque Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.1% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)36.9% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.31% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)73.69% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Metz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.45% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)26.54% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.25%61.75% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Score Analysis
    Dunkerque 28.08%
    Metz 44.2%
    Draw 27.71%
DunkerqueDrawMetz
1-0 @ 9.77%
2-1 @ 6.46%
2-0 @ 4.87% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 2.15% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.62% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.42%
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 28.08%
1-1 @ 12.95%
0-0 @ 9.8% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.28% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 27.71%
0-1 @ 12.99%
0-2 @ 8.62% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 8.59%
0-3 @ 3.81%
1-3 @ 3.8%
2-3 @ 1.89%
0-4 @ 1.26%
1-4 @ 1.26%
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 44.2%

Head to Head
Dec 9, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Metz
2-0
Dunkerque
Hein (90' pen.), Asoro (90+3')
Kouao (61')

Raghouber (21'), Georgen (70'), Abner (88'), Bammou (89')