Ligue 2 | Gameweek 21
Jan 31, 2025 at 7pm UK
Stade Armand-Cesari
Metz logo

Bastia
1 - 1
Metz

Ble (11')
Loic Onana Etoga (39'), Vincent (43'), Ravynel Inao Oulai (57'), Meynadier (58'), Placide (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Hein (90+5' pen.)
Gueye (45+1')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Bastia and Metz.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bastia

All competitions
Ligue 2
Last Game: Bastia 1-1 Pau
Friday, January 24 at 7pm in Ligue 2

Metz

All competitions
Ligue 2
Last Game: Metz 3-0 Grenoble
Friday, January 24 at 7pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 41.5%. A win for Metz had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.2%) and 2-1 (8.1%). The likeliest Metz win was 0-1 (10.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.

Result
BastiaDrawMetz
41.5% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)28.78% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)29.71% (0.104 0.1)
Both teams to score 44.27% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38% (0.073 0.07)61.99% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.26% (0.053000000000001 0.05)81.73% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Bastia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.56% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)29.44% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.56% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)65.44% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Metz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.74% (0.12 0.12)37.25% (-0.121 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.96% (0.119 0.12)74.03% (-0.11999999999999 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Bastia 41.5%
    Metz 29.7%
    Draw 28.78%
BastiaDrawMetz
1-0 @ 13.41% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 8.2% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.1% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 3.34% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.63% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.02% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.01% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 41.5%
1-1 @ 13.24%
0-0 @ 10.96% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 28.78%
0-1 @ 10.82%
1-2 @ 6.54% (0.023 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.35% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.15% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.76% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.32% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 29.7%

How you voted: Bastia vs Metz

Bastia
50.0%
Draw
16.7%
Metz
33.3%
6
Head to Head
Aug 19, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Metz
1-1
Bastia
Jallow (90+8')
Colin (90+3')
Boutrah (38')
Ducrocq (29'), Bohnert (70'), Tramoni (85')
Jun 2, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Metz
3-2
Bastia
Sabaly (31'), Maziz (55', 75')
Bohnert (68'), Schur (86')
Salles-Lamonge (23'), Brouard (24'), Kaiboue (90+2')
> Preview
Sep 17, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 9
Bastia
1-0
Metz
Salles-Lamonge (10')
Mar 17, 2017 6pm
Metz
1-0
Bastia
Cioni (46' og.)
Balliu (50'), Nguette (69')

Cioni (38'), Ngando (78')
Dec 10, 2016 7pm
Bastia
2-0
Metz
Djiku (23'), Saint-Maximin (75')
Coulibaly (22'), Danic (83')

Cohade (45'), Niguette (52')