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Ligue 2 | Gameweek 19
Jan 18, 2025 at 1pm UK
Stade Saint-Symphorien

Metz
3 - 1
Paris FC

Diallo (17', 71'), Gueye (55')
Udol (30'), Sane (50'), Hein (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Krasso (28')
De Smet (40'), Tourraine (90+4')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Metz and Paris FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Metz

All competitions
Ligue 2
Last Game: Lorient 0-0 Metz
Saturday, January 11 at 7pm in Ligue 2

Paris FC

All competitions
Ligue 2
Last Game: Paris FC 1-0 Amiens
Saturday, January 11 at 1pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 39.61%. A win for Paris FC had a probability of 32.71% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Paris FC win was 0-1 (10.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Metz would win this match.

Result
MetzDrawParis FC
39.61% (0.077999999999996 0.08)27.67% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)32.71% (-0.067 -0.07)
Both teams to score 48.38% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.65% (0.039000000000001 0.04)57.34% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.82% (0.030000000000001 0.03)78.17% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Metz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.74% (0.063999999999993 0.06)28.26% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.03% (0.082000000000001 0.08)63.97% (-0.085000000000008 -0.09)
Paris FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.43% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)32.56% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.9% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)69.1% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Metz 39.61%
    Paris FC 32.71%
    Draw 27.67%
MetzDrawParis FC
1-0 @ 11.63% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.25% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.35% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.47% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.1% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.95% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.1% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 0.98% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 39.61%
1-1 @ 13.04% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.2% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.63% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.67%
0-1 @ 10.32% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.32% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.79% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.74% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 2.17% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.73% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 32.71%

Head to Head
Sep 14, 2024 1.30pm
Gameweek 4
Paris FC
1-2
Metz
Dicko (31')
Tourraine (76')
Sabaly (13'), Udol (25')
Deminguet (30'), Sane (38'), Udol (71')
Apr 29, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 33
Metz
1-1
Paris FC
Mikautadze (18' pen.)
Guilavogui (13')
Nov 12, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 15
Paris FC
1-4
Metz
Guilavogui (28')
Mikautadze (11' pen., 23', 82'), Gueye (63')
Feb 22, 2019 7pm
Gameweek 26
Metz
2-0
Paris FC
Diallo (19' pen., 57')
Delaine (45')

De Marconnay (15'), Akichi (39'), Nomenjanahary (44')
Feb 21, 2019
12am
Metz  
vs.
  Paris FC