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Ligue 2 | Gameweek 16
Dec 14, 2024 at 1pm UK
Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir

Lorient
2 - 0
Paris FC

Ponceau (13'), Soumano (90+7' pen.)
Abergel (44'), Katseris (64')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Marchetti (26'), Lopez (76'), Lopez (76')
Marchetti (84')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Lorient and Paris FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lorient 2-0 Troyes
Friday, December 6 at 7pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Ajaccio 0-2 Paris FC
Saturday, December 7 at 7pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Paris FC had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Paris FC win was 0-1 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lorient would win this match.

Result
LorientDrawParis FC
41.53% (-1.494 -1.49)26.52% (0.229 0.23)31.95% (1.268 1.27)
Both teams to score 51.65% (-0.205 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.92% (-0.497 -0.5)53.08% (0.5 0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.34% (-0.425 -0.43)74.66% (0.42700000000001 0.43)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.77% (-0.97999999999999 -0.98)25.23% (0.983 0.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.02% (-1.373 -1.37)59.98% (1.376 1.38)
Paris FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.08% (0.626 0.63)30.92% (-0.623 -0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.79% (0.729 0.73)67.21% (-0.72600000000001 -0.73)
Score Analysis
    Lorient 41.53%
    Paris FC 31.95%
    Draw 26.52%
LorientDrawParis FC
1-0 @ 10.74% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-1 @ 8.68% (-0.175 -0.18)
2-0 @ 7.4% (-0.28 -0.28)
3-1 @ 3.99% (-0.198 -0.2)
3-0 @ 3.4% (-0.23 -0.23)
3-2 @ 2.34% (-0.075 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.37% (-0.11 -0.11)
4-0 @ 1.17% (-0.115 -0.12)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 41.53%
1-1 @ 12.61% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 7.8% (0.152 0.15)
2-2 @ 5.1% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.52%
0-1 @ 9.16% (0.332 0.33)
1-2 @ 7.4% (0.188 0.19)
0-2 @ 5.37% (0.283 0.28)
1-3 @ 2.9% (0.122 0.12)
0-3 @ 2.1% (0.145 0.15)
2-3 @ 1.99% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 31.95%

Head to Head
May 15, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 38
Paris FC
P-P
Lorient
Jul 29, 2019 7.45pm
Lorient
3-0
Paris FC
Cabot (11'), Saunier (55'), Wissa (77')

Mandouki (43'), Yohou (45'), Pitroipa (51')
Yohou (61')
Apr 15, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Paris FC
2-2
Lorient
Wamangituka (46'), Yohou (84')
Yohou (58'), Kante (73')
Claude Maurice (33'), Hamel (75' pen.)
Hamel (44'), Etuin (78')
Nov 9, 2018 7pm
Gameweek 14
Lorient
2-1
Paris FC
Rose (29'), Wissa (89')
Etuin (16'), Lemoine (69'), Saad (77'), Rose (82'), Ponceau (87')
Wamangituka (3')
Kouame (13'), Bong (28')
Bong (90')