Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 50.5%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Pau had a probability of 24.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.51%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a Pau win it was 0-1 (7.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
Bastia	Draw	Pau
50.5% ( -0.01)	25.46% ( -0.01)	24.04% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 49.49% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.7% (

0.05)

53.3% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.15% (

0.05)

74.85% (

-0.04)

Bastia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.87% (

0.02)

21.13% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.03% (

0.03)

53.97% (

-0.02)

Pau Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.75% (

0.05)

37.25% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.96% (

0.05)

74.03% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Bastia 50.5%

Pau 24.04%

Draw 25.46%

Bastia	Draw	Pau
1-0 @ 12.23% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.51% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.39% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.93% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.87% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.92% 4-1 @ 1.89% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 2.43% Total : 50.5%	1-1 @ 12.08% 0-0 @ 7.87% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.64% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.87% Total : 25.46%	0-1 @ 7.77% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.97% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.84% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.96% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.53% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.26% ( 0) Other @ 1.71% Total : 24.04%