Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Star win with a probability of 36.94%. A win for Pau had a probability of 36.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Star win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Pau win was 0-1 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.

Result
Red Star	Draw	Pau
36.94% ( -0.2)	26.71% ( -0.27)	36.35% ( 0.47)

Both teams to score 51.86% (

0.89)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.82% (

1.11)

53.18% (

-1.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.25% (

0.93)

74.75% (

-0.93)

Red Star Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.19% (

0.41)

27.81% (

-0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.59% (

0.52)

63.4% (

-0.52)

Pau Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.84% (

0.82)

28.16% (

-0.82)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.15% (

1.03)

63.84% (

-1.03)

Score Analysis

Red Star 36.93%

Pau 36.35%

Draw 26.71%

Red Star	Draw	Pau
1-0 @ 10.02% ( -0.32) 2-1 @ 8.13% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.41% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 3.47% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 2.74% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.87% Total : 36.93%	1-1 @ 12.7% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 7.83% ( -0.35) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.13) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.71%	0-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.21) 1-2 @ 8.05% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 6.29% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.4% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.1) 1-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.78% Total : 36.35%