Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 40.04%. A win for Dunkerque had a probability of 30.12% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.06%) and 2-1 (7.65%). The likeliest Dunkerque win was 0-1 (11.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.