Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 65.99%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 12.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.33%) and 2-1 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.9%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 0-1 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Metz	Draw	Ajaccio
65.99% ( -0.15)	21.81% ( 0.08)	12.21% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 38.95% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.07% (

-0.14)

55.93% (

0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.97% (

-0.11)

77.04% (

0.12)

Metz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.7% (

-0.09)

16.31% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.13% (

-0.17)

45.88% (

0.18)

Ajaccio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

46.54% (

0.04)

53.46% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.06% (

0.02)

86.94% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Metz 65.98%

Ajaccio 12.21%

Draw 21.81%

Metz	Draw	Ajaccio
1-0 @ 15.81% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 14.33% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.98% ( -0) 3-0 @ 8.67% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.43% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3.93% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.46% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.7% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.25% Total : 65.98%	1-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.72% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 2.81% ( 0) Other @ 0.38% Total : 21.81%	0-1 @ 5.46% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.71% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.94% Total : 12.21%