Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 65.99%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 12.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.33%) and 2-1 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.9%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 0-1 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.