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Ligue 2 | Gameweek 26
Mar 8, 2025 at 7pm UK
Stade Saint-Symphorien

Metz
5 - 1
Annecy

Drouhin (12' og.), Deminguet (29'), Jallow (64'), Asoro (86'), Bokele Mputu (90+4')
Sane (7'), Deminguet (67')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Demoncy (69')
Dago (45+1'), Pajot (53')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Metz and Annecy.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Amiens 1-2 Metz
Saturday, March 1 at 1pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Annecy 2-3 Paris FC
Friday, February 28 at 7pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 59.39%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Annecy had a probability of 17.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.78%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for an Annecy win it was 0-1 (6.34%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Metz would win this match.

Result
MetzDrawAnnecy
59.39% (-0.158 -0.16)23.37% (0.179 0.18)17.23% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 45.86% (-0.555 -0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.93% (-0.723 -0.72)53.06% (0.722 0.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.35% (-0.62 -0.62)74.65% (0.61799999999999 0.62)
Metz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.42% (-0.318 -0.32)17.57% (0.317 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.87% (-0.55399999999999 -0.55)48.13% (0.552 0.55)
Annecy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.64% (-0.457 -0.46)44.36% (0.456 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.58% (-0.374 -0.37)80.41% (0.372 0.37)
Score Analysis
    Metz 59.39%
    Annecy 17.23%
    Draw 23.37%
MetzDrawAnnecy
1-0 @ 13.55% (0.24 0.24)
2-0 @ 11.78% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 9.58% (-0.046999999999999 -0.05)
3-0 @ 6.83% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.55% (-0.086 -0.09)
4-0 @ 2.97% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.41% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.26% (-0.064 -0.06)
5-0 @ 1.03% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-2 @ 0.98% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 59.39%
1-1 @ 11.01% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 7.8% (0.219 0.22)
2-2 @ 3.89% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 23.37%
0-1 @ 6.34% (0.1 0.1)
1-2 @ 4.48% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.58% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.21% (-0.025 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.06% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 17.23%

Head to Head
Dec 14, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 16
Annecy
0-0
Metz
Paris (86')
Le Mignan (0')
Mar 4, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 26
Annecy
0-3
Metz
Mikautadze (27', 83'), Maziz (50')
Sep 2, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Metz
0-0
Annecy
N'Doram (38'), Kouyate (69')
Kashi (28'), Billemaz (66')
Kashi (81')