Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 59.39%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Annecy had a probability of 17.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.78%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for an Annecy win it was 0-1 (6.34%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Metz would win this match.