Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 31

Apr 7, 2025 at 8pm UK

King Power Stadium

Leicester
0 - 3
Newcastle

Ndidi (14'), Justin (47')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Murphy (2', 11'), Barnes (34')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Leicester City

All competitions

Last Game: Man City 2-0 Leicester
Wednesday, April 2 at 7.45pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Newcastle United

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Newcastle 2-1 Brentford
Wednesday, April 2 at 7.45pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 57.92%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Leicester City had a probability of 20.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.21%) and 0-2 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for a Leicester City win it was 2-1 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result
Leicester City	Draw	Newcastle United
20.49% ( 0.18)	21.59% ( 0.09)	57.92% ( -0.27)

Both teams to score 57.18% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.14% (

-0.17)

40.86% (

0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.75% (

-0.17)

63.25% (

0.18)

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.38% (

0.08)

33.61% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.74% (

0.09)

70.26% (

-0.09)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.13% (

-0.14)

13.87% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.74% (

-0.27)

41.26% (

0.27)

Score Analysis

Leicester City 20.49%

Newcastle United 57.92%

Draw 21.59%

Leicester City	Draw	Newcastle United
2-1 @ 5.47% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 5.08% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 2.77% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 1.99% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.97% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.2% Total : 20.49%	1-1 @ 10.04% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.41% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.66% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 21.59%	1-2 @ 9.92% ( -0) 0-1 @ 9.21% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 9.1% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 6.53% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 5.99% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 3.56% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 3.23% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 2.96% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.76% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.28% ( -0.02) 0-5 @ 1.17% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.22% Total : 57.92%