Premier League Gameweek 30
Apr 2, 2025 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Etihad Stadium
  • Jack Grealish 2' goal
  • Omar Marmoush 29' goal
  • Nico Gonzalez 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jamie Vardy 34'
  • yellowcard James Justin 71'
  • yellowcard Luke Thomas 77'
  • yellowcard Oliver Skipp 89'

Manchester City vs Leicester City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester City

All competitions
Last game
Mar 15, 2025 3.00pm
Man City 2 - 2 Brighton
Goals scored
72
Top scorer
Erling Haaland

Leicester City

All competitions
Last game
Mar 16, 2025 7.00pm
Leicester 0 - 3 Man Utd
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Jamie Vardy

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 81.87%. A draw had a probability of 11% and a win for Leicester City had a probability of 7.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.14%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.6%), while for a Leicester City win it was 1-2 (2.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Manchester City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Manchester City.

Result

Manchester City 81.87% (-0.56)
Draw 11.03% (+0.20)
Leicester City 7.1% (+0.37)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.22% (+1.38)

Goals

Over 2.5 78.8% (+0.55)
Under 2.5 21.19% (-0.54)
Over 3.5 60.22% (+0.75)
Under 3.5 39.78% (-0.75)
Over 4.5 40.77% (+0.78)
Under 4.5 59.23% (-0.78)

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5 96.15% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 3.85% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 83.61% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 16.39% (-0.06)

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5 60.55% (+1.42)
Under 0.5 39.45% (-1.42)
Over 1.5 23.86% (+1.30)
Under 1.5 76.14% (-1.29)

Score analysis

Manchester City 81.87%
Draw 11.03%
Leicester City 7.1%
Manchester City
3-0 @ 8.75% (-0.32)
3-1 @ 8.14% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 8.06% (-0.31)
2-1 @ 7.49% (+0.02)
4-0 @ 7.12% (-0.25)
4-1 @ 6.63% (+0.04)
1-0 @ 4.95% (-0.20)
5-0 @ 4.64% (-0.16)
5-1 @ 4.32% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.78% (+0.16)
4-2 @ 3.08% (+0.13)
6-0 @ 2.52% (-0.09)
6-1 @ 2.34% (+0.02)
5-2 @ 2.01% (+0.09)
7-0 @ 1.17% (-0.04)
6-2 @ 1.09% (+0.05)
7-1 @ 1.09% (+0.02)
Other @ 4.71%
Total : 81.87%
Draw
1-1 @ 4.6%
2-2 @ 3.49% (+0.14)
0-0 @ 1.52% (-0.07)
3-3 @ 1.17% (+0.10)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 11.03%
Leicester City
1-2 @ 2.14% (+0.09)
0-1 @ 1.41% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.08% (-98.82)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 7.1%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 19
Dec 29, 2024 2.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT King Power Stadium
  • Boubakary Soumare 56' yellowcard
  • Bilal El Khannous 65' yellowcard
  • goal Savio 21'
  • goal Erling Haaland 74'
  • yellowcard Stefan Ortega 78'
Premier League Gameweek 31
Apr 15, 2023 5.30pm
3
1
HT : 3 0
FT
  • John Stones 5' goal
  • Erling Braut Haaland 13' goal
  • Erling Braut Haaland 25' goal
  • goal Kelechi Iheanacho 75'
Premier League Gameweek 14
Oct 29, 2022 12.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Kevin De Bruyne 49'
Premier League Gameweek 19
Dec 26, 2021 3.00pm
6
3
HT : 4 0
FT
  • Kevin De Bruyne 5' goal
  • Riyad Mahrez 14' goal
  • Ilkay Gundogan 21' goal
  • Raheem Sterling 25' goal
  • Aymeric Laporte 69' goal
  • Raheem Sterling 87' goal
  • Fernandinho 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jannik Vestergaard 45'
  • goal James Maddison 55'
  • goal Ademola Lookman 59'
  • goal Kelechi Iheanacho 65'
  • yellowcard James Maddison 75'
Premier League Gameweek 4
Sep 11, 2021 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Caglar Soyuncu 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rodri 26'
  • yellowcard Aymeric Laporte 38'
  • goal Bernardo Silva 62'
Community Shield
Aug 7, 2021 5.15pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ryan Bertrand 50' yellowcard
  • Kelechi Iheanacho 89' goal
  • yellowcard Josep Guardiola i Sala 41'
  • yellowcard Ruben Dias 87'
  • yellowcard Fernandinho 88'

Build-up

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