FA Cup
Mar 30, 2025 4.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Vitality Stadium
  • Evanilson 21' goal
  • Ryan Christie 62' yellowcard
  • Lewis Cook 70' yellowcard
  • Justin Kluivert 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Abdukodir Khusanov 37'
  • goal Erling Haaland 49'
  • goal Omar Marmoush 63'
  • yellowcard Matheus Nunes 86'
  • yellowcard James McAtee 90'+5'

Bournemouth vs Manchester City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Bournemouth

All competitions

Manchester City

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 45.04%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 32.54% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.22%) and 0-2 (5.74%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 2-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Manchester City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Manchester City.

Result

Bournemouth 32.54% (-0.95)
Draw 22.42% (+0.10)
Manchester City 45.04% (+0.86)

Both Teams to Score: 

66.25% (-0.78)

Goals

Over 2.5 65.85% (-0.86)
Under 2.5 34.15% (+0.86)
Over 3.5 43.97% (-0.98)
Under 3.5 56.03% (+0.98)
Over 4.5 25.42% (-0.83)
Under 4.5 74.59% (+0.83)

Bournemouth Goals

Over 0.5 78.67% (-0.91)
Under 0.5 21.33% (+0.91)
Over 1.5 45.71% (-1.42)
Under 1.5 54.29% (+1.42)

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5 84.22% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 15.78% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 55.08% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 44.92% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Bournemouth 32.54%
Draw 22.42%
Manchester City 45.04%
Bournemouth
2-1 @ 7.42% (-0.09)
1-0 @ 5.2% (+0.09)
2-0 @ 4.02% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 3.82% (-0.16)
3-2 @ 3.53% (-0.15)
3-0 @ 2.07% (-0.09)
4-1 @ 1.48% (-0.11)
4-2 @ 1.36% (-0.10)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 32.54%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.6% (+0.16)
2-2 @ 6.85% (-0.09)
0-0 @ 3.37% (+0.15)
3-3 @ 2.17% (-0.09)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 22.42%
Manchester City
1-2 @ 8.87% (+0.14)
0-1 @ 6.22% (+0.27)
0-2 @ 5.74% (+0.25)
1-3 @ 5.46% (+0.09)
2-3 @ 4.21% (-0.06)
0-3 @ 3.53% (+0.15)
1-4 @ 2.52% (+0.04)
2-4 @ 1.95% (-0.03)
0-4 @ 1.63% (+0.07)
3-4 @ 1% (-0.05)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 45.04%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 10
Nov 2, 2024 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Vitality Stadium
  • Ryan Christie 6' yellowcard
  • Antoine Semenyo 9' goal
  • Evanilson 64' goal
  • Tyler Adams 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kyle Walker 71'
  • goal Josko Gvardiol 82'
Premier League Gameweek 26
Feb 24, 2024 5.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Vitality Stadium
  • Lewis Cook 38' yellowcard
  • Marcos Senesi 70' yellowcard
  • goal Phil Foden 24'
  • yellowcard Bernardo Silva 87'
  • yellowcard Kevin De Bruyne 90'+6'
Premier League Gameweek 11
Nov 4, 2023 3.00pm
6
1
HT : 3 0
FT Etihad Stadium
  • Jeremy Doku 30' goal
  • Bernardo Silva 33' goal
  • Manuel Akanji 37' goal
  • Phil Foden 64' goal
  • Bernardo Silva 83' goal
  • Nathan Ake 88' goal
  • yellowcard Philip Billing 32'
  • goal Luis Sinisterra 74'
Premier League Gameweek 25
Feb 25, 2023 5.30pm
1
4
HT : 0 3
FT
  • Jefferson Lerma 83' goal
  • goal Julian Alvarez 15'
  • goal Erling Braut Haaland 29'
  • goal Phil Foden 45'
  • goal Chris Mepham 51' (OG)
Premier League Gameweek 2
Aug 13, 2022 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Ilkay Gundogan 19' goal
  • Kevin De Bruyne 31' goal
  • Phil Foden 37' goal
  • Jefferson Lerma 79' goal
  • yellowcard Jack Stacey 5'
  • yellowcard Chris Mepham 56'
  • yellowcard Adam Smith 90'+2'
EFL Cup
Sep 24, 2020 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Etihad Stadium
  • Liam Delap 18' goal
  • Phil Foden 75' goal
  • Liam Delap 79' yellowcard
  • goal Sam Surridge 22'
  • yellowcard Jordan Zemura 70'
  • yellowcard Lewis Cook 90'+2'

Build-up

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Predicted Lineups