Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 45.04%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 32.54% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.22%) and 0-2 (5.74%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 2-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Manchester City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Manchester City.