Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 30

Apr 2, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

St. James' Park

Newcastle
2 - 1
Brentford

Isak (45+2'), Tonali (74')
Schar (70')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Mbeumo (66' pen.)
Lewis-Potter (72')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Liverpool 1-2 Newcastle
Sunday, March 16 at 4.30pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Brentford

All competitions

Last Game: Bournemouth 1-2 Brentford
Saturday, March 15 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 55.66%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 23.24% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.53%) and 1-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Brentford win was 1-2 (5.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Newcastle United in this match.

Result
Newcastle United	Draw	Brentford
55.66% ( 0.46)	21.1% ( -0.1)	23.24% ( -0.36)

Both teams to score 63.06% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.05% (

0.05)

34.95% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.07% (

0.06)

56.93% (

-0.05)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.4% (

0.16)

12.6% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.3% (

0.32)

38.7% (

-0.31)

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.16% (

-0.26)

27.84% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.56% (

-0.33)

63.44% (

0.34)

Score Analysis

Newcastle United 55.66%

Brentford 23.24%

Draw 21.1%

Newcastle United	Draw	Brentford
2-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.53% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.65% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 4.25% 4-1 @ 3.44% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 2.69% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.03) 4-3 @ 0.94% ( -0) 5-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.44% Total : 55.66%	1-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 3.51% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.33% Total : 21.1%	1-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 4.49% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.56% Total : 23.24%