EFL Cup
Liverpool
Mar 16, 2025 4.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Wembley Stadium
Newcastle
  • Federico Chiesa 90'+4' goal
  • Federico Chiesa 90'+8' yellowcard
  • goal Dan Burn 45'
  • goal Alexander Isak 52'
  • yellowcard Nick Pope 90'
  • yellowcard Sandro Tonali 90'+9'

Liverpool vs Newcastle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

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Form, Standings, Stats

Liverpool

All competitions

Newcastle United

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 65.23%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 16.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.5%) and 3-1 (7.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.03%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 1-2 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result

Liverpool 65.23% ▲ (+0.09)
Draw 18.31% ▼ (-0.05)
Newcastle United 16.46% ▼ (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.33% ▲ (+0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5 68.09% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 2.5 31.9% ▼ (-0.16)
Over 3.5 46.54% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 3.5 53.45% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 4.5 27.63% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 4.5 72.36% ▼ (-0.16)

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5 90.77% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 0.5 9.22% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 1.5 68.79% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 1.5 31.2% ▼ (-0.15)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5 67.56% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 0.5 32.43% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 1.5 31.04% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 1.5 68.95% ▼ (-0.07)

Score analysis

Liverpool 65.23%
Draw 18.31%
Newcastle United 16.46%
Liverpool
2-1 @ 9.57% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 8.5% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 7.6% ▲ (+0.02)
1-0 @ 7.13% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 6.75%
4-1 @ 4.53% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 4.28% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 4.02% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 2.55% ▲ (+0.02)
5-1 @ 2.16% ▲ (+0.02)
5-0 @ 1.92% ▲ (+0.02)
5-2 @ 1.22% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 5%
Total : 65.23%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.03% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.39% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 2.99% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.61% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 18.31%
Newcastle United
1-2 @ 4.52% ▼ (-0.02)
0-1 @ 3.37% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.02% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.9% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.7% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 16.46%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 27
Liverpool
Feb 26, 2025 8.15pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Anfield
Newcastle
  • Dominik Szoboszlai 11' goal
  • Alexis Mac Allister 63' goal
  • yellowcard Jacob Murphy 80'
Premier League Gameweek 14
Newcastle
Dec 4, 2024 7.30pm
3
3
HT : 1 0
FT St. James' Park
Liverpool
  • Alexander Isak 35' goal
  • Sandro Tonali 58' yellowcard
  • Anthony Gordon 62' goal
  • Fabian Schar 90' goal
  • Nick Pope 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alexis Mac Allister 20'
  • yellowcard Jarell Quansah 42'
  • yellowcard Ryan Gravenberch 45'
  • goal Curtis Jones 50'
  • goal Mohamed Salah 68'
  • yellowcard Trent Alexander-Arnold 69'
  • yellowcard Darwin Nunez 71'
  • goal Mohamed Salah 83'
Premier League Gameweek 20
Liverpool
Jan 1, 2024 8.00pm
4
2
HT : 1 0
FT Anfield
Newcastle
  • Luis Diaz 18' goal
  • Luis Diaz 45' yellowcard
  • Mohamed Salah 49' goal
  • Trent Alexander-Arnold 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Wataru Endo 66' yellowcard
  • Curtis Jones 74' goal
  • Cody Gakpo 78' goal
  • Mohamed Salah 86' goal
  • yellowcard Bruno Guimaraes 28'
  • yellowcard Lewis Miley 45'+2'
  • goal Alexander Isak 54'
  • yellowcard Joelinton 66'
  • goal Sven Botman 81'
  • yellowcard Martin Dubravka 84'
  • yellowcard Sean Longstaff 89'
Premier League Gameweek 3
Newcastle
Aug 27, 2023 4.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT St. James' Park
Liverpool
  • Anthony Gordon 25' goal
  • Kieran Trippier 51' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Trent Alexander-Arnold 6'
  • redcard Virgil van Dijk 28'
  • goal Darwin Nunez 81'
  • yellowcard Darwin Nunez 85'
  • goal Darwin Nunez 90'+3'
Premier League Gameweek 24
Newcastle
Feb 18, 2023 5.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT
Liverpool
  • goal Darwin Nunez 10'
  • goal Cody Gakpo 17'
Premier League Gameweek 5
Liverpool
Aug 31, 2022 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Newcastle
  • Roberto Firmino 61' goal
  • Fabio Carvalho 90'+8' goal
  • goal Alexander Isak 38'

Form Data

Liverpool 0 - 1 PSG
Liverpool 3 - 1 Southampton
PSG 0 - 1 Liverpool
Liverpool 2 - 0 Newcastle
Man City 0 - 2 Liverpool
Aston Villa 2 - 2 Liverpool
West Ham 0 - 1 Newcastle
Newcastle 1 - 2 Brighton
Liverpool 2 - 0 Newcastle
Newcastle 4 - 3 Nott'm Forest
Man City 4 - 0 Newcastle
Birmingham 2 - 3 Newcastle

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