Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 47.86%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 30.01% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.39%) and 2-0 (6.13%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-2 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| West Ham United | Draw | Southampton |
| 47.86% ( | 22.12% ( | 30.01% |
| Both teams to score 65.95% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.04% ( | 33.96% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.18% ( | 55.82% ( |
| West Ham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.29% ( | 14.71% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.09% ( | 42.91% ( |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.33% ( | 22.67% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.68% ( | 56.31% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| West Ham United | Draw | Southampton |
| 2-1 @ 9.09% 1-0 @ 6.39% ( 2-0 @ 6.13% ( 3-1 @ 5.81% ( 3-2 @ 4.31% ( 3-0 @ 3.91% 4-1 @ 2.78% ( 4-2 @ 2.07% ( 4-0 @ 1.88% 5-1 @ 1.07% ( 4-3 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 3.42% Total : 47.86% | 1-1 @ 9.49% ( 2-2 @ 6.75% 0-0 @ 3.34% ( 3-3 @ 2.13% ( Other @ 0.43% Total : 22.12% | 1-2 @ 7.04% ( 0-1 @ 4.95% ( 0-2 @ 3.67% ( 1-3 @ 3.48% 2-3 @ 3.34% ( 0-3 @ 1.82% 1-4 @ 1.29% 2-4 @ 1.24% ( Other @ 3.18% Total : 30.01% |