Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 34

Apr 26, 2025 at 3pm UK

St. Mary's Stadium

Southampton
1 - 2
Fulham

Stephens (14')
Deen Sulemana (69')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Smith Rowe (72'), Sessegnon (90+2')
Jimenez (70')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions

Last Game: West Ham 1-1 Southampton
Saturday, April 19 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Fulham

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Fulham 1-2 Chelsea
Sunday, April 20 at 2pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 57.33%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 21.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.52%) and 0-1 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for a Southampton win it was 2-1 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Fulham in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Fulham.

Result
Southampton	Draw	Fulham
21.33% ( -0.64)	21.34% ( -0.31)	57.33% ( 0.95)

Both teams to score 59.42% (

0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.47% (

0.63)

38.52% (

-0.63)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.18% (

0.66)

60.82% (

-0.66)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.51% (

-0.22)

31.49% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.13% (

-0.25)

67.87% (

0.25)

Fulham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.72% (

0.5)

13.28% (

-0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.91% (

0.99)

40.09% (

-0.99)

Score Analysis

Southampton 21.33%

Fulham 57.33%

Draw 21.34%

Southampton	Draw	Fulham
2-1 @ 5.64% ( -0.13) 1-0 @ 4.83% ( -0.18) 2-0 @ 2.79% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.17% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.63% Total : 21.33%	1-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.18% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.24% Total : 21.34%	1-2 @ 9.85% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.52% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 8.44% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 6.63% ( 0.13) 0-3 @ 5.74% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 3.83% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 3.35% ( 0.12) 0-4 @ 2.9% ( 0.12) 2-4 @ 1.93% ( 0.06) 1-5 @ 1.35% ( 0.07) 0-5 @ 1.17% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.63% Total : 57.33%