Premier League Gameweek 38
May 25, 2025 4.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Vitality Stadium
  • Antoine Semenyo 74' goal
  • Antoine Semenyo 88' goal
  • yellowcard Luke Thomas 16'
  • yellowcard Conor Coady 38'

Bournemouth vs Leicester City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Bournemouth

All competitions
Last game
May 20, 2025 8.00pm
Man City 3 - 1 Bournemouth
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Justin Kluivert

Leicester City

All competitions
Last game
May 18, 2025 3.00pm
Leicester 2 - 0 Ipswich
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Jamie Vardy

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 63.19%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Leicester City had a probability of 16.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 1-0 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.52%), while for a Leicester City win it was 1-2 (4.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Bournemouth in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bournemouth.

Result

Bournemouth 63.19% (+5.90)
Draw 20.26% (-1.76)
Leicester City 16.54% (-4.14)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.22% (-1.81)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.83% (+1.36)
Under 2.5 41.17% (-1.36)
Over 3.5 36.43% (+1.37)
Under 3.5 63.57% (-1.37)
Over 4.5 19.35% (+1.04)
Under 4.5 80.65% (-1.04)

Bournemouth Goals

Over 0.5 87.59% (+2.21)
Under 0.5 12.41% (-2.21)
Over 1.5 61.69% (+4.42)
Under 1.5 38.31% (-4.42)

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5 61.9% (-3.72)
Under 0.5 38.1% (+3.72)
Over 1.5 25.14% (-3.77)
Under 1.5 74.86% (+3.78)

Score analysis

Bournemouth 63.19%
Draw 20.26%
Leicester City 16.55%
Bournemouth
2-0 @ 10.29% (+1.00)
2-1 @ 9.93% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 9.87% (+0.21)
3-0 @ 7.16% (+1.21)
3-1 @ 6.91% (+0.55)
4-0 @ 3.73% (+0.88)
4-1 @ 3.6% (+0.55)
3-2 @ 3.33% (-0.07)
4-2 @ 1.74% (+0.11)
5-0 @ 1.56% (+0.46)
5-1 @ 1.5% (+0.33)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 63.19%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.52% (-0.79)
2-2 @ 4.79% (-0.51)
0-0 @ 4.73% (-0.30)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.14)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 20.26%
Leicester City
1-2 @ 4.59% (-0.92)
0-1 @ 4.56% (-0.81)
0-2 @ 2.2% (-0.67)
2-3 @ 1.54% (-0.35)
1-3 @ 1.48% (-0.49)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 16.55%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 7
Oct 5, 2024 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT King Power Stadium
  • Facundo Buonanotte 16' goal
  • Jordan Ayew 40' yellowcard
  • Wilfred Ndidi 50' yellowcard
  • James Justin 64' yellowcard
  • Boubakary Soumare 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marcos Senesi 84'
FA Cup
Feb 27, 2024 7.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
ET Vitality Stadium
  • Enes Unal 35' yellowcard
  • Marcos Senesi 57' yellowcard
  • Alex Scott 87' yellowcard
  • Justin Kluivert 109' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Arjan Raikhy 37'
  • yellowcard Callum Doyle 51'
  • yellowcard Abdul Fatawu 96'
  • goal Abdul Fatawu 105'
  • yellowcard Ricardo Pereira 111'
  • yellowcard James Justin 115'
Premier League Gameweek 30
Apr 8, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Philip Billing 40'
Premier League Gameweek 10
Oct 8, 2022 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Philip Billing 67' goal
  • Ryan Christie 71' goal
  • goal Patson Daka 10'
Premier League Gameweek 35
Jul 12, 2020 7.00pm
4
1
HT : 0 1
FT Vitality Stadium
  • Dan Gosling 32' yellowcard
  • Junior Stanislas 65' goal
  • Dominic Solanke 67' goal
  • Jonny Evans 83' goal
  • Junior Stanislas 86' yellowcard
  • Dominic Solanke 87' goal
  • goal Jamie Vardy 23'
  • yellowcard Wilfred Ndidi 65'
  • redcard Caglar Soyuncu 67'
Premier League Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2019 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Jamie Vardy 12' goal
  • Marc Albrighton 40' yellowcard
  • Youri Tielemans 41' goal
  • Jamie Vardy 73' goal
  • goal Callum Wilson 15'
  • yellowcard Philip Billing 21'
  • yellowcard Jefferson Lerma 32'
  • yellowcard Callum Wilson 69'

Build-up

Predicted Lineups
Head to head