Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 39.62%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 36.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.76%) and 2-0 (5.95%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-2 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.