Premier League Gameweek 33
Aston Villa
Apr 19, 2025 5.30pm
4
1
HT : 1 1
FT Villa Park
Newcastle
  • Ollie Watkins 1' goal
  • Ian Maatsen 64' goal
  • Dan Burn 73' goal
  • Amadou Onana 75' goal
  • Jacob Ramsey 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Fabian Schar 13'
  • goal Fabian Schar 18'
  • yellowcard Joelinton 41'
  • yellowcard Bruno Guimaraes 63'

Aston Villa vs Newcastle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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News

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa

All competitions
Last game
Apr 12, 2025 3.00pm
Southampton 0 - 3 Aston Villa
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Ollie Watkins

Newcastle United

All competitions
Last game
Apr 16, 2025 7.30pm
Newcastle 5 - 0 Crystal Palace
Goals scored
68
Top scorer
Alexander Isak

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 39.42%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 37.35% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.41%) and 2-0 (5.28%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result

Aston Villa 39.42% ▼ (-5.87)
Draw 23.23% ▲ (+0.19)
Newcastle United 37.35% ▲ (+5.68)

Both Teams to Score: 

64.44% ▲ (+0.94)

Goals

Over 2.5 62.98% ▲ (+0.57)
Under 2.5 37.01% ▼ (-0.57)
Over 3.5 40.8% ▲ (+0.61)
Under 3.5 59.2% ▼ (-0.61)
Over 4.5 22.78% ▲ (+0.49)
Under 4.5 77.22% ▼ (-0.50)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5 80.75% ▼ (-2.22)
Under 0.5 19.24% ▲ (+2.22)
Over 1.5 49.04% ▼ (-3.79)
Under 1.5 50.96% ▲ (+3.79)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5 79.79% ▲ (+3.27)
Under 0.5 20.21% ▼ (-3.27)
Over 1.5 47.48% ▲ (+4.97)
Under 1.5 52.52% ▼ (-4.97)

Score analysis

Aston Villa 39.42%
Draw 23.22%
Newcastle United 37.35%
Aston Villa
2-1 @ 8.44% ▼ (-0.64)
1-0 @ 6.41% ▼ (-0.67)
2-0 @ 5.28% ▼ (-0.99)
3-1 @ 4.64% ▼ (-0.72)
3-2 @ 3.71% ▼ (-0.18)
3-0 @ 2.9% ▼ (-0.80)
4-1 @ 1.91% ▼ (-0.46)
4-2 @ 1.53% ▼ (-0.19)
4-0 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.44)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 39.42%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.24% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.75% ▲ (+0.18)
0-0 @ 3.89% ▼ (-0.11)
3-3 @ 1.98% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 23.22%
Newcastle United
1-2 @ 8.19% ▲ (+0.77)
0-1 @ 6.22% ▲ (+0.43)
0-2 @ 4.97% ▲ (+0.78)
1-3 @ 4.37% ▲ (+0.78)
2-3 @ 3.6% ▲ (+0.43)
0-3 @ 2.65% ▲ (+0.63)
1-4 @ 1.75% ▲ (+0.45)
2-4 @ 1.44% ▲ (+0.29)
0-4 @ 1.06% ▼ (-72.44)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 37.35%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 18
Newcastle
Dec 26, 2024 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT St. James' Park
Aston Villa
  • Anthony Gordon 2' goal
  • Kieran Trippier 23' yellowcard
  • Joelinton 45' yellowcard
  • Alexander Isak 59' goal
  • Joelinton 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Matty Cash 14'
  • redcard Jhon Duran 32'
Premier League Gameweek 22
Aston Villa
Jan 30, 2024 8.15pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT Villa Park
Newcastle
  • Boubacar Kamara 39' yellowcard
  • Ollie Watkins 71' goal
  • Douglas Luiz 72' yellowcard
  • John McGinn 77' yellowcard
  • Nicolo Zaniolo 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Fabian Schar 32'
  • goal Fabian Schar 36'
  • goal Alex Moreno 52' (OG)
  • yellowcard Anthony Gordon 90'+4'
Premier League Gameweek 1
Newcastle
Aug 12, 2023 5.30pm
5
1
HT : 2 1
FT St. James' Park
Aston Villa
  • Sandro Tonali 6' goal
  • Alexander Isak 16' goal
  • Anthony Gordon 53' yellowcard
  • Sven Botman 45'+9' yellowcard
  • Alexander Isak 58' goal
  • Bruno Guimaraes 67' yellowcard
  • Callum Wilson 77' goal
  • Harvey Barnes 90'+1' goal
  • Sandro Tonali 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Douglas Luiz 6'
  • goal Moussa Diaby 11'
  • yellowcard Lucas Digne 32'
  • yellowcard Matty Cash 48'
  • yellowcard Emiliano Martinez 45'+9'
Club Friendlies 1
Newcastle
Jul 24, 2023 12.00am
3
3
HT : 2 2
FT Lincoln Financial Field
Aston Villa
  • Elliott Anderson 28' goal
  • Alexander Isak 45' goal
  • Callum Wilson 55' goal
  • goal Ollie Watkins 7'
  • goal Emiliano Buendia 11'
  • goal Emiliano Buendia 48'
Premier League Gameweek 31
Aston Villa
Apr 15, 2023 12.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Newcastle
  • Jacob Ramsey 11' goal
  • Ollie Watkins 64' goal
  • Ollie Watkins 83' goal
Premier League Gameweek 14
Newcastle
Oct 29, 2022 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Aston Villa
  • Callum Wilson 45'+5' goal
  • Callum Wilson 56' goal
  • Joelinton 59' goal
  • Miguel Almiron 67' goal

Form Data

Aston Villa 3 - 2 PSG
Southampton 0 - 3 Aston Villa
PSG 3 - 1 Aston Villa
Aston Villa 2 - 1 Nott'm Forest
Brighton 0 - 3 Aston Villa
Preston 0 - 3 Aston Villa
Newcastle 5 - 0 Crystal Palace
Newcastle 4 - 1 Man Utd
Leicester 0 - 3 Newcastle
Newcastle 2 - 1 Brentford
Liverpool 1 - 2 Newcastle
West Ham 0 - 1 Newcastle

Build-up

News
Predicted Lineups