Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 29

Apr 16, 2025 at 7.30pm UK

St. James' Park

Newcastle
5 - 0
Crystal Palace

Murphy (14'), Guehi (38' og.), Barnes (45+2'), Schar (45+8'), Isak (58')
Burn (60'), Guimaraes (67')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Hughes (51'), Lerma (60'), Munoz (78')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Newcastle 4-1 Man Utd
Sunday, April 13 at 4.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Crystal Palace

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Man City 5-2 Crystal Palace
Saturday, April 12 at 12.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 54.45%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 22.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.77%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 1-2 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result
Newcastle United	Draw	Crystal Palace
54.45% ( 3.41)	22.87% ( -0.57)	22.68% ( -2.84)

Both teams to score 56.02% (

-1.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.11% (

-0.29)

43.89% (

0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.72% (

-0.29)

66.28% (

0.29)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.96% (

1.11)

16.04% (

-1.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.61% (

45.39% (

-1.99)

Crystal Palace Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.72% (

-2.55)

33.28% (

2.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.11% (

-2.91)

69.89% (

2.91)

Score Analysis

Newcastle United 54.45%

Crystal Palace 22.68%

Draw 22.86%

Newcastle United	Draw	Crystal Palace
2-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.17) 1-0 @ 9.77% ( 0.48) 2-0 @ 8.94% ( 0.75) 3-1 @ 6% ( 0.32) 3-0 @ 5.45% ( 0.64) 3-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.75% ( 0.24) 4-0 @ 2.5% ( 0.37) 4-2 @ 1.51% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.12) 5-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.17) Other @ 2.48% Total : 54.45%	1-1 @ 10.74% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.29) 0-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.86%	1-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.56) 0-1 @ 5.87% ( -0.35) 0-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.44) 1-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.38) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.26) 0-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.26) Other @ 2.33% Total : 22.68%