Newcastle United vs Manchester United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 41.08%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 36.21% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.99%) and 2-0 (5.22%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.