Europa League
Apr 10, 2025 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Parc Olympique Lyonnais
  • Thiago Almada 25' goal
  • Nicolas Tagliafico 79' yellowcard
  • Rayan Cherki 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Diogo Dalot 31'
  • goal Leny Yoro 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Manuel Ugarte 52'
  • yellowcard Mason Mount 78'
  • goal Joshua Zirkzee 88'
  • yellowcard Kobbie Mainoo 90'+4'

Lyon vs Manchester United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

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Form, Standings, Stats

Lyon

All competitions

Manchester United

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 46.38%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 30.75% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.08%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 1-2 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result

Lyon 46.38% (+0.38)
Draw 22.87% (-0.06)
Manchester United 30.75% (-0.32)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.63% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 62.81% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 37.19% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 40.6% (+0.12)
Under 3.5 59.39% (-0.12)
Over 4.5 22.63% (+0.10)
Under 4.5 77.37% (-0.10)

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5 83.54% (+0.19)
Under 0.5 16.46% (-0.19)
Over 1.5 53.83% (+0.33)
Under 1.5 46.16% (-0.33)

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5 76.18% (-0.14)
Under 0.5 23.82% (+0.14)
Over 1.5 42% (-0.20)
Under 1.5 58% (+0.20)

Score analysis

Lyon 46.38%
Draw 22.87%
Manchester United 30.75%
Lyon
2-1 @ 9.16% (+0.03)
1-0 @ 7.08% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.38% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 5.51% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3.95% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 3.84% (+0.06)
4-1 @ 2.48% (+0.04)
4-2 @ 1.78% (+0.03)
4-0 @ 1.73% (+0.04)
Other @ 4.48%
Total : 46.38%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.15% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 6.57% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.92% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.89% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 22.87%
Manchester United
1-2 @ 7.28% (-0.06)
0-1 @ 5.63% (-0.06)
0-2 @ 4.04% (-0.06)
1-3 @ 3.48% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 3.14% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.93% (-0.04)
1-4 @ 1.25% (-0.03)
2-4 @ 1.13% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 30.75%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 1
Jul 19, 2023 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Murrayfield Stadium
  • Donny van de Beek 49' goal

Build-up

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