Europa League
Mar 13, 2025 8.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Parc Olympique Lyonnais
  • Georges Mikautadze 14' goal
  • Ernest Nuamah 37' goal
  • Georges Mikautadze 47' goal
  • Ernest Nuamah 88' goal

Lyon vs FCSB - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Lyon

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Mar 6, 2025 5.45pm
FCSB 1 - 3 Lyon

FCSB

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Mar 6, 2025 5.45pm
FCSB 1 - 3 Lyon

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 54.59%. A win for FCSB had a probability of 23.41% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest FCSB win was 1-2 (6.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result

Lyon 54.59% (-0.03)
Draw 22% (+0.01)
FCSB 23.41% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

60% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.94% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 39.06% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 38.62% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 61.38% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 21.04% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 78.96% (-0.01)

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5 85.69% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 14.3% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 57.88% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 42.12% (+0.01)

FCSB Goals

Over 0.5 70.02% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 29.98% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 33.91% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 66.09% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Lyon 54.59%
Draw 21.99%
FCSB 23.41%
Lyon
2-1 @ 9.77% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.34% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.11% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.33% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.26% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.81% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 3.08% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.56% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.85%
5-1 @ 1.2% (-0.01)
Other @ 4.3%
Total : 54.59%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.04%
2-2 @ 5.88% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.29% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.53% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 21.99%
FCSB
1-2 @ 6.05% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 5.17% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.11% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.43% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.36% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.25% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 23.41%

Head to Head

Europa League
Mar 6, 2025 5.45pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT Arena Nationala
  • Adrian Sut 11' yellowcard
  • David Miculescu 47' yellowcard
  • Alexandru Baluta 68' goal
  • goal Nicolas Tagliafico 30'
  • goal Malick Fofana 86'
  • goal Malick Fofana 89'