Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 54.59%. A win for FCSB had a probability of 23.41% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest FCSB win was 1-2 (6.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.