Lyon

4 - 0

FCSB

We said: Lyon 2-0 FCSB (Lyon to win 5-1 on aggregate) Given their formidable home form and historical dominance in this fixture, Lyon are well-placed to claim another victory on Thursday, sealing their progress with wins in both legs. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 54.59%. A win for FCSB had a probability of 23.41% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest FCSB win was 1-2 (6.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.