Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 51.05%. A win for FCSB had a probability of 25.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.4%) and 0-2 (8.25%). The likeliest FCSB win was 2-1 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.