Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 24

Mar 2, 2025 at 2pm UK

Parc Olympique Lyonnais

Lyon
2 - 1
Brest

Lacazette (24', 82')
Tessmann (34'), Fonseca (43'), Lacazette (45+3')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Lala (15' pen., 15' pen.)
Lala (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lyon and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lyon

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Lyon 2-3 PSG
Sunday, February 23 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Brest

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Brest 2-3 Dunkerque
Wednesday, February 26 at 6pm in Coupe de France

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 58.31%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Brest had a probability of 20.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.09%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.94%), while for a Brest win it was 1-2 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lyon in this match.

Result
Lyon	Draw	Brest
58.31% ( 0.17)	21.42% ( -0.01)	20.27% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 57.43% (

-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.64% (

-0.18)

40.36% (

0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.26% (

-0.19)

62.73% (

0.19)

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.41% (

-0)

13.58% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.3% (

-0.01)

40.7% (

0.01)

Brest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.45% (

-0.27)

33.54% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.81% (

-0.29)

70.18% (

0.29)

Score Analysis

Lyon 58.31%

Brest 20.27%

Draw 21.42%

Lyon	Draw	Brest
2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.09% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 9.08% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 6.6% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.04% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.29% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.32% 5-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.35% Total : 58.31%	1-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.56% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.42%	1-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 4.98% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.21% Total : 20.27%