Ligue 1 Gameweek 24
Lyon
Mar 2, 2025 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 2
FT Parc Olympique Lyonnais
Brest
  • Alexandre Lacazette 24' goal
  • Tanner Tessmann 34' yellowcard
  • Paulo Fonseca 43' yellowcard
  • Alexandre Lacazette 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Alexandre Lacazette 82' goal
  • Paulo Fonseca 90'+7' redcard
  • goal Kenny Lala 15'
  • goal Kenny Lala 15'
  • yellowcard Kenny Lala 59'

Lyon vs Brest - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Lyon

All competitions
Last game
Feb 23, 2025 7.45pm
Lyon 2 - 3 PSG
Goals scored
65
Top scorer
Alexandre Lacazette

Brest

All competitions
Last game
Feb 23, 2025 4.15pm
Strasbourg 0 - 0 Brest
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Ludovic Ajorque

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 58.31%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Brest had a probability of 20.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.09%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.94%), while for a Brest win it was 1-2 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lyon in this match.

Result

Lyon 58.31% ▲ (+0.18)
Draw 21.42% ▼ (-0.02)
Brest 20.27% ▼ (-0.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.43% ▼ (-0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.64% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 2.5 40.36% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 3.5 37.26% ▼ (-0.19)
Under 3.5 62.73% ▲ (+0.19)
Over 4.5 19.98% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 4.5 80.01% ▲ (+0.15)

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5 86.41% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 13.58% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 59.3% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 40.7% ▲ (+0.02)

Brest Goals

Over 0.5 66.45% ▼ (-0.27)
Under 0.5 33.54% ▲ (+0.27)
Over 1.5 29.81% ▼ (-0.29)
Under 1.5 70.18% ▲ (+0.30)

Score analysis

Lyon 58.31%
Draw 21.42%
Brest 20.27%
Lyon
2-1 @ 9.92% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 9.09% ▲ (+0.08)
2-0 @ 9.08% ▲ (+0.08)
3-1 @ 6.6% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.04% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3.61% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 3.29% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 3.02% ▲ (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.02)
5-1 @ 1.32%
5-0 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 58.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.94% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.42% ▼ (-0.04)
0-0 @ 4.56% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 21.42%
Brest
1-2 @ 5.43% ▼ (-0.04)
0-1 @ 4.98% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.72% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.98% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.97% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 20.27%

Head to Head

Ligue 1 Gameweek 17
Brest
Jan 11, 2025 4.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Stade Francis-Le Ble
Lyon
  • Mahdi Camara 8' goal
  • Ludovic Ajorque 25' goal
  • Edimilson Fernandes 55' yellowcard
  • goal Jordan Veretout 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Tanner Tessmann 57'
  • yellowcard Duje Caleta-Car 90'+2'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 29
Lyon
Apr 14, 2024 7.45pm
4
3
HT : 1 0
FT Parc Olympique Lyonnais
Brest
  • Corentin Tolisso 18' goal
  • Said Benrahma 57' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Tagliafico 59' yellowcard
  • Alexandre Lacazette 70' goal
  • Nicolas Tagliafico 79' goal
  • Nicolas Tagliafico 86' redcard
  • Jake O'Brien 87' yellowcard
  • Nemanja Matic 90'+10' yellowcard
  • Ainsley Maitland-Niles 90'+16' goal
  • yellowcard Lilian Brassier 17'
  • yellowcard Pierre Lees-Melou 45'+2'
  • goal Steve Mounie 59'
  • goal Romain Del Castillo 64'
  • goal Romain Del Castillo 67'
  • redcard Pierre Lees-Melou 86'
  • yellowcard Bradley Locko 87'
  • yellowcard Marco Bizot 90'+11'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 6
Brest
Sep 23, 2023 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Francis-Le Ble
Lyon
  • Pierre Lees-Melou 31' yellowcard
  • Mahdi Camara 64' yellowcard
  • Lilian Brassier 81' yellowcard
  • Steve Mounie 87' goal
  • yellowcard Ernest Nuamah 10'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 21
Lyon
Feb 1, 2023 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brest
Ligue 1 Gameweek 16
Brest
Dec 28, 2022 8.00pm
2
4
HT : 1 3
FT
Lyon
  • Mathias Pereira Lage 29' goal
  • Steve Mounie 72' goal
  • goal Maxence Caqueret 21'
  • goal Rayan Cherki 32'
  • goal Alexandre Lacazette 35'
  • goal Tete 49'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 33
Brest
Apr 20, 2022 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Lyon
  • Steve Mounie 27' goal
  • Julien Faussurier 30' yellowcard
  • Martin Satriano 58' yellowcard
  • Irvin Cardona 74' goal
  • yellowcard Tete 18'
  • yellowcard Thiago Mendes 55'
  • goal Moussa Dembele 72'

Form Data

Lyon 2 - 3 PSG
Montpellier 1 - 4 Lyon
Lyon 4 - 0 Reims
Marseille 3 - 2 Lyon
Lyon 1 - 1 Ludogorets
Nantes 1 - 1 Lyon
Brest 2 - 3 Dunkerque
Strasbourg 0 - 0 Brest
PSG 7 - 0 Brest
Brest 2 - 2 Auxerre
Brest 0 - 3 PSG
Nantes 0 - 2 Brest